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flies with that .....from Crikey ..... Pollies grumble at writers' fest: 'good govt and ALP are strangers' Margot Saville writes: ALP, JOHN FAULKNER, PAUL HOWES, RODNEY CAVALIER, SYDNEY WRITER'S FESTIVAL Can the ALP survive? And if so, what form will it be in? There is huge interest in this topic, if the very large crowds who turned out yesterday for two related sessions at the Sydney Writers' Festival are any indication. In the morning, party elder John Faulkner, former NSW Minister Rodney Cavalier and journalist Barry Cassidy featured in a session called ""From Barcaldine to Oblivion? Was the ALP just a 20th-century phenomenon whose use-by date has come? Can Labor's political fortunes be revived?" At the start, moderator Peter Hartcher quoted Faulkner and Cavalier as saying that the 500-strong audience represented a much larger group than either had seen at any ALP branch meeting lately. Although, as Faulkner quipped, "the age is about right". The two pollies were a great combination, with Faulkner providing the considered voice of reason, with the famously curmudgeonly Cavalier there to lob bombs. Cavalier has the best Wikipedia entry I have ever read, describing his "abrasive personality, reformist zeal and intolerance of sloppy work". One left-wing Teachers Federation activist described him as "the rudest, most pugnacious individual to hold office". As to the future of the ALP, Cavalier said that in most of Australia, the party was already dead. In the 16 years of the NSW Labor government, 130 branches had folded, and last week the Waterloo branch closed, he said. Of the people who do join the party, 30% do not renew after one year and 70% do not last longer than five years -- and "not one of them has a good word to say about us", he said. ("Just like the Catholic church," Hartcher quipped.) In addition, the party had aged around him, Cavalier said: "When I joined the party in 1968, at the age of 19, I was one of the youngest members of my branch, and now, in 2011, I'm still one of the youngest." Even though the NSW ALP had 15,000 on its books, fewer than 1000 would pass the "breath on the mirror" test, and the people left in Parliament were like "spaceships freely roaming the galaxies, with no connection to the people down below". Cavalier, from the Left faction of the party, said that the PM's "truly ghastly" speech to the Sydney Institute, in which she got stuck into dole bludgers, was modelled on Margaret Thatcher: "I made a joke that soon she'd soon be attacking single mothers, and lo and behold, she did! Good government and the ALP have become strangers." Faulkner said that many people were questioning the party's survival. But, "it's too simplistic and easy to put a lot of the blame at the door of Kevin Rudd or Julia Gillard or whomever the leader happens to be". "The challenges that the ALP faces are not going to be solved in their entirety at all by changing the leader. I want to see the party grow and prosper ... the challenge for the ALP is to re-establish itself as a party of values, ideas and reform. We need to make a culture of inclusion and innovation in the ALP not so much of exclusion and factionalism." The party was now facing, for the first time since the Commonwealth was created, "a serious political threat on the left of the party from the Greens", he said. "The ALP is being squeezed in both ways now." But how to deal with it? Cavalier pointed out that no one currently running the ALP was going to be an advocate for reform, quoting Chairman Mao that "no political class would ever give up its power without a struggle". He then went on to make a few stinging remarks about the make-up of the ALP senators from Victoria, the least offensive of which was a description of Stephen Conroy as a "factional dalek". Part of the problem was that the extremely "narrow catchment of people going into Parliament had eliminated almost everyone who worked for a living": "This government does not belong to us." In the afternoon, AWU national secretary Paul Howes and former pollie Graham Richardson fronted up for a session entitled "Confessions of a Faceless Man" -- also the title of the extremely insightful and entertaining campaign diary penned by Howes during the 2010 election. The 30-year-old Howes, one of the men who deposed Kevin Rudd, is not your stereotypical union boss, espousing very progressive views on climate change, immigration and gay marriage. Richo asked him if Rudd had come unstuck the day he abandoned the ETS. Howes replied that the PM had "lost it" the day he got up in parliament and said that people smugglers were the vilest form of human being on the planet. "He was the most popular PM in history, and he was saying that those who fear refugees and boat people are right to have those fears," he said, adding that Moses and Oskar Schindler had both been people smugglers. "He had the opportunity to change the debate about race, population and refugees in a way that would have advantaged the party electorally and advantaged the country." Rudd's refusal to spend any political capital on this issue marked the beginning of his "slow march towards defeat", Howes said, conceding that the PMs removal was "pretty ugly": "We knew that we did not do it the right way." So when's Howes running for parliament? He had no serious intention of doing so, he replied to one questioner, adding he intended to run for re-election as AWU national secretary in 2013. Probably, like most would-be reformers, he has worked out that he can be more effective outside the parliament than inside it. But watch this space.
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Tony Abbott is frothing at the mouth...
"good govt and ALP are strangers???"
I disagree.
Sure, there is a problem with "renewing" the troops in the ALP... There are numerous reasons for this. But first let's say that "Liberals and cunning selfish government are bedfellows"... And I'd say this too "good government and ALP are not really strangers"...
One of the reasons the Liberals (conservatives) may attract more people (if they do) in their ranks is they represent the party of money and power — mostly selfish money, even if they "give to charities" and mostly bullying power. Thus the Libs (conservatives) will attract more sociopath flies with the illusion of honey and the power of being smugly superior. This leads to another reason why Labor is lacking new youthful troops: The illusion of money and union bashing by previous Liberal governments has fragmented furthermore a thinning blue collar workforce, as less and less stuff is being manufactured here.
In this country, there has been a shift towards the "me" personal gain at the expense of sharing in the social capital. This is manufactured and cultivated by the cult-bent mass media where the Murdoch and the Alan Jones bash Labor for no other reason that "their man" — as silly as he is — is not in the lodge. They will do it even if Labor has "good ideas" and competently manages the economy as we've seen during the recent WFC and beyond... Some media will concentrate on a few problems — blowing them up out of proportion such as the insulation program which worked well 99.9 per cent of the time... Even shops cannot guaranty the goods you buy are going to last for more than five minutes... If you have a problem, even with warranty, you often have to send it somewhere else, at your expense and in the original boxes...
One aspect that has also cut the supply of good ALP youth may be the apprenticeship system which has been dismantled and "university-fied"... Even at university, the unions have be decimated by the likes and lies of John Howard.
Julia is a smarter woman — say person to be non-sexist — than most scribes are prepared to acknowledge. She carefully chooses her ground of action. She will sometimes make proposals that seem outrageous and wrong but eventually "she gets it right". This process is not so much because she does not know what she's doing, but the trick here is that she knows EXACTLY what she wants but to do so directly, the proper solution would be destroyed by the antics of a Tony-clowning-Abbott and a gnarly media at large.
See the subtle TACTIC (I have seen it in action by most clever subtle people) in order to twist the mechanism. For example, you lead Tony and the media on false chases, make them spend they ammunitions, take some flak yourself but in the end you steer towards the solution that you always desired as best for moving on in the proper direction. Howard used the same technique but in the wrong direction...
Sure one can loose base support for appearing to be wandering about, but it's the only way to deal with a rabid Tony and a Murdoch who controls 70 per cent of the press... Come July, the dynamics will change. Julia is already starting to assert herself... Tony will blunt his nasty bite and that's why he's been more and more vociferous about "Labor being a bad government"... Some idiots in the Labor camp have even bought this stupid idea, because they have been reticent in really "supporting" Julia and resent "her" for whatever niggly reason... For example, on one side people want her to say gay marriages should happen, on the other side the Labor party is still underpinned by many devout Catholics — some of whom I know are resentful for having been "pipped" by the red-head — who are opposed to the idea. Not to mentioned the Libs (conservative) who are mostly venomous about the suggestion. Julia is "waiting for the right time". It will come. Be patient...
Far fetched? Look, you have an atheist woman, who lives in a de-facto relationship in the lodge and a red-head to boot... On top of that she has to make compromises with other people with different view points. but she's a top negotiator... Thus Julia pushes along, gently but surely, in the proper direction. Can't solve the world's problems in two minutes, can you, without upsetting a few (lots) of people...
That's why the mining industry is up in arms, that's why the tobacco lobby is up in arms, but by now we expect this reaction from then and the sky has not fallen on our head yet... Thus we are not afraid to tackle them in our own psyche... That's why the UNHCR supports the Malaysia solution, because, frankly, it is an "efficient solution to stop the boats" and HELP REFUGEES at the same time. Still a few cueballs to sort out but they will come... That's why Tony Abbott is frothing at the mouth, still pushing the Nauru solution which only delayed the "problem of boats" by only six months, under the Howard government and did cost a hell of a lot of wasted money... That's why Alan Jones is going nuts with climate denialism... That's why...
That's why... The miners and the tobacco companies know they've already lost...