French President Emmanuel Macron’s phone calls with his Russian counterpart, Vladimir Putin, mainly took place “at the request of President Zelensky” of Ukraine, a spokeswoman for the French Foreign Ministry stated on Saturday. Zelensky has publicly declared that he will never speak to Putin in person, and has made peace talks with the Russian leader illegal.

“Mr. Macron calls President Putin mainly at the request of President [Vladimir] Zelensky, and always in coordination with our allies to maintain a channel for dialogue,” Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Anne-Claire Legendre said during an interview with RTVI.

Kiev has never admitted that Zelensky presses his Western backers into speaking to Putin, and the Ukrainian leader himself signed a decree in October forbidding negotiations with Moscow unless “another president of Russia” replaces the current Kremlin occupant. With negotiations officially off the table, Zelensky has repeatedly vowed to use force to seize Russian territory that is claimed by Ukraine, including Crimea.

Among Western leaders, Macron is one of a small minority who maintain contact with Putin. Both he and German Chancellor Olaf Scholz have held regular phone calls with the Russian leader since Moscow’s military operation in Ukraine began almost a year ago.

Legendre said that at some point “Ukrainians will decide that the time has come for negotiations. That is why we consider it useful to maintain this channel of dialogue.”

Macron and Scholz have been condemned by their Eastern European allies for holding discussions with Putin. “Why talk to him? He’s a war criminal,” Estonian Prime Minister Kaja Kallas declared last summer. “I feel that if everybody is constantly calling him, he doesn’t get the message that he’s isolated.”

Although Macron has defended his conversations with Putin, and has spoken publicly of the need to reach a ceasefire deal that doesn’t “humiliate Russia,” he has still supplied Kiev’s military with progressively heavier weapons. France announced last month that it would send infantry fighting vehicles to Ukraine, and Macron last week refused to rule out the eventual transfer of fighter jets.

Western nations that supply weapons to Ukraine have made themselves de facto participants in the conflict, Moscow has repeatedly stated. 

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by Regis Chamagne

Remember that the war unfolding in Ukraine is only the tip of a much deeper iceberg: the geopolitical paradigm shift that opposes the “collective West” to the rest of the world. It is in this that American officials recently admitted that it was for them an existential question.

The non-lobotomized observers understood from the beginning of the special military operation that it was a question of survival for Russia. The de facto integration of the Ukrainian army into NATO since at least 2014, favored by the deception of the Minsk agreements, and the preparation of a NATO-Ukrainian offensive in the Donbass posed a direct threat to Russian territory. The outbreak of hostilities by Russia was therefore a defensive maneuver in the face of NATO's latent offensive which was to result in a very real offensive.

The Americans and their European minions initially thought that the economic sanctions would sink the Russian economy and that the Ukrainian army, armed and led by NATO, would push back the Russian army. But there ! Russia is self-sufficient in food, energy and practically self-sufficient in industry, thanks in particular to China, which supplies it with certain electronic components it needs. As for defence, the Russian military-industrial complex produces materials at a lower cost, in large numbers and effective while that of the collective West produces very expensive materials, in limited numbers and moderately effective. Moreover, on state directives, Russian industry was able to move quickly to 24-hour production, with 3-8 shifts, while American private industries are unable to do so, for the simple reason that their operation is conditioned by profit rather than the higher interests of their nation.

Let us remember in this respect that defense is to the nation what immune defenses are to the human body. Privatizing the defense industry is like relying on vaccines to preserve your health. Having a national defense industry amounts to strengthening one's own immune defenses through a healthy lifestyle. Any analogy with recent events is obviously purely coincidental.

On the American side (with its minions…), the center of gravity of the system is the dollar. The role of the US military is to impose the dollar as a global currency, which has so far allowed the US to ransom the entire planet (or almost) with its monkey money. " If you are not with us, you are against us. said Debeliou Bush in his time; It can not be any clearer. Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya, Syria... A military defeat of the collective West in Ukraine would therefore mean, in the long term, for the United States, the end of the hegemony of the dollar, the heart of their system of domination and consequently the collapse of their system. It is therefore indeed an existential question for the United States, with regard to the world it claimed to dominate.

Weak signals that are getting stronger and stronger indicate a ground movement in the world.

For the moment, the “non-aligned” countries; in short, Africa, Latin America, Southeast Asia and the Middle East, are confined to a posture of “nice” neutrality (you never know with these Americans). Condemn the Russian invasion? Not really ! Send arms to Ukraine? No thanks ! These are weak, “nice” signals.

At the same time, things are happening that would have been unimaginable ten years ago: exchanges in non-dollar currencies are multiplying in trade agreements such as those between China and Saudi Arabia, Western armies are being kicked out of their former colonies (see France in Mali, CAR or Burkina Faso for example) for the benefit of Russia or China. All of this is part of a fundamental movement that rejects colonialism and Western neo-colonialism. If this is done today, it is simply possible. This means that the geopolitical reality is such that it makes it possible to question symbols that have been rooted in history for a long time. And that is huge. It is a shift in consciousness.

Some indicators point to a strategic Russian offensive in Ukraine in the near future. There is panic in Washington, so much so that they were able to offer Russia a ridiculous way out of the crisis in a posture of the weak against the strong, believing themselves to be still the strongest.

NATO's military defeat is therefore looming, and with it the end of American hegemony over the world.

I don't predict what form this offensive will take, but I imagine an operation that will use air force as a strategic tool (so far the Russians have used air force in a tactical role) coordinated with a maneuver appropriate electronic warfare. The appointment of General Surovikin at the head of the aerial maneuver suggests this kind of employment. There will probably also be maneuvers of deception, so weak and disorganized is the Ukrainian army, in order to act where it does not expect it, notwithstanding NATO's strategic reconnaissance means. Basically, amassing forces in one place to concentrate the NATO-Ukro-Nazi armies and rush into a hole with lighter means supported by aviation and artillery. These are all tactical guesses, but Russia's superiority on the ground gives it such a wide range of possibilities that anything is imaginable. In any case, I think we are going to be surprised by the form this decisive offensive will take.

When all eyes are on the Russian offensive in Ukraine, we will have to look elsewhere. How quickly will weak signals turn into geopolitical reality? What will be the interactions between the reality of the military situation in Ukraine (the tip of the iceberg) and the shifts towards the new world (the submerged part of the iceberg)?

It will be necessary to look in at least two directions, but there are surely others: the requests to join the BRICS and the nature of the monetary exchanges with the “non-aligned” countries and the new world that is being built.

The BRICs were originally an English acronym (English-Americans love acronyms) of an English economics journalist who grouped countries with strong economic growth. This acronym became a geopolitical reality in June 2009, in Yekaterinburg, when Russia organized the first gathering of these countries. That said, there are other institutions outside the Western field such as the SCO or ASEAN, but they are regional, while the BRICS, with a more flexible format and more open to the outside, open up the possibility of a larger gathering. This is perhaps the embryo of a future international organization which will eventually replace the UN.

More importantly, it will be necessary to monitor economic and monetary exchanges between countries outside the collective West. In which currencies? At what pace and with what intensity? This is where the geopolitical paradigm shift is taking place. This is really what we will have to watch out for when the Russian military offensive begins.

And France in all this? When France becomes eternal France again, faithful to its great and long history, that of General de Gaulle, stripped of the traitors who have administered it for decades, it will naturally take its rightful place, that which the peoples of the whole world offers him: a voice! The voice of freedom, the voice of respect for self-determination of peoples, the voice of fraternity.

source: Regis Chamagne

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