Monday 30th of December 2024

more about the price fish.....

One of the most dangerous things that a government can do is present a glossy picture of the economy at a time when families and small businesses are suffering. Governments are always optimistic, but sending euphoric messages tends to backfire, especially when the situation for the middle class is complicated.

 

Daniel Lacalle

 

In the United States, the Biden administration’s message of “the strongest economy in decades” is not just an exaggeration; it may anger voters who suffer the burden of negative real wage growth, accumulated inflation, and higher taxes.

According to a study by the Tax Policy Center, 20 to 30 percent of middle-income households saw a tax hike in 2022 and according to the Tax Foundation, workers bear an estimated 70 percent of the corporate income tax hikes. Indirect taxation is only one source of purchasing power loss for families. Rising taxation on productive capacity reduces the availability of manufacturing jobs, limits real wage growth, and creates higher costs for consumers.

One way of measuring the situation of families in the United States is the Misery II Index, calculated as the current unemployment rate added to the accumulated consumer price index measure of inflation over the past four years. Historically, the Misery II Index, according to Bloomberg Economics, has been 17.65% in years when the current president wins an election. However, the reality of the United States economy today is much worse.

The Misery II Index for the United States stands at 23% for the whole nation, and Bloomberg Economics estimates that it will reach a staggering 24% by the time of the elections.

This means that the average US citizen has lost an enormous amount of wealth and purchasing power in salaries due to accumulated inflation, and low unemployment may not create voter support as the reality of real wage growth also shows that the average U.S. worker is struggling. As Ryan McMaken points out, the recent minuscule increase in real wages is hardly good news when it comes after 25 months in a row of year-over-year declines in real wages from mid-2021 to mid-2023. This means that the average hourly wage has increased by just 0.76% over the past four years, when in the previous four years real wages rose three times more, or 2.8 percent.

This Misery II Index is not just bad for the whole United States. According to Bloomberg, swing-state economies have fared relatively poorly during the Biden presidency, especially since mid-2022,” with the Misery II Index for swing states almost two percentage points higher than other states.

We do not know if this will make a strong difference in voters’ decisions, but the weakening of workers’ and businesses conditions are signs of why the average American sees a much weaker economy than headlines suggest.

There is a lesson here that no government will learn. Inflationist policies never work and may make the administration lose an election. Wrongly named stimulus plans only leave a massive trail of debt and impoverishment for citizens.

The government tries to blame inflation on anything and everything except the insane fiscal and monetary policy of the past years. There is no such thing as commodity inflation, corporate greedflation, cost-push inflation, or shrinkflation. The only thing that can make aggregate prices rise in unison, consolidate the increase, and continue rising even if it is at a slower pace is the destruction of the purchasing power of the U.S. dollar through the monetary mismanagement caused by monetizing an unsustainable and ever-increasing public deficit. If any of the aforementioned factors had contributed to inflation, we would currently be experiencing deflation rather than persistent inflation, which only refers to a slower rate of price increases. Inflation is always the destruction of the purchasing power of the currency and that is what Americans received when they were promised free things: lower real wages and a diminishing purchasing power of deposit savings.

The so-called Bidemomics has brought debt to an all-time high and no real wage growth with low official unemployment that disguises labor participation and employment to population ratios below the 2019 level.

Yes, the government is to blame for inflation, and a strong economy does not show an average 0.7% real wage growth in four years, a two trillion dollar annual government deficit with $34 trillion debt, and a 17.6% accumulated official CPI inflation that is 33.7% if we consider food, 18.7% in shelter and 32.8% in energy, an estimated 30% in all non-replaceable goods, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics 2021-2023.

Governments are to blame for inflation, and this may be a key factor in the elections.

 

https://mises.org/mises-wire/misery-index-shows-bidenomics-failing

 

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freedom vs equality.....

 

by Ross Fitzgerald AM

 

As we approach St Patrick’s Day, politically aware readers should know that in Brisbane on March 17 1948, Australia’s only Communist Party MP Fred Paterson was savagely smashed from behind by a Queensland policeman.

Some time after it occurred, this attack on Paterson became known as The Great St Patrick’s Day Bash.

Yet most Australians, including a great many Queenslanders, do not know about this horrific incident.

Indeed, many educated Australians remain unaware that north Queensland was once known as “The Red North”.

From 1944 to 1950, Frederick Woolnough (Fred) Paterson was the Communist Party member for Bowen in the Queensland Legislative Assembly, the upper house having been abolished in 1922 by Labor premier and later federal treasurer, EG “Red Ted” Theodore.

Shortly before his bashing, it was said of Paterson that only one politician was less likely ever to become premier of Queensland – the then unprepossessing Country Party MP for Nanango, Johannes (Joh) Bjelke-Petersen. This was confirmed by Sir Joh and Lady Florence (“Flo”) when David Isherwood and I visited their property, Bethany, outside of Kingaroy, in 1988.

Born in Gladstone in 1897, Paterson is the first and only Communist Party member to be elected to any state or federal parliament in Australia.

A former Rhodes Scholar and divinity student who became a prominent Communist activist and radical barrister for the poor and dispossessed, Paterson was widely known throughout north Queensland as “the people’s champion”.

A staunch defender of the rights of Italian cane-cutters and other workers, he helped lessen the influence of fascist ideas among Queensland’s immigrant community, while at the same time advancing their socio-economic conditions.

Being an avid anti-fascist and having declared he was no longer a believer, Paterson had many enemies, including members of the cloth.

At a public meeting in Townsville in 1947, while Paterson was promoting Communist ideas, a priest interjected: “Have you ever been to Russia?”

“No father,” said Fred, who had never visited the Soviet Union, “Have you ever been to heaven?”

A year later, on St Patrick’s Day, March 17,1948, while acting as a legal observer of a march of striking unionists in Brisbane, Paterson sustained serious head injuries after having been deliberately bashed by a plainclothes Queensland policeman.

To try and stop a statewide railway strike, on March 9, 1948, autocratic ALP premier EM (Ned) Hanlon rushed through Queensland’s one-house parliament the Industrial Law Amendment Act, prohibiting participation in an illegal strike and stipulating heavy penalties.

Queensland police were granted power to enter any home or building, to disperse any gathering and to arrest without warrant. The onus of proof was placed on the defendants. Under the act, the opinion of a police officer was sufficient evidence of a misdemeanour.

Paterson had described the law as “the greatest scab-herding, strike-breaking piece of legislation ever introduced by a Labor government anywhere in Australia”.

On March 10 1948, even the very conservative Courier-Mail had editorialised: “These powers… are the most far-reaching ever given to the police in any state in Australia.”

In the light of Hanlon’s publicly expressed antagonism to Paterson, it is significant that, on the afternoon of the day that Paterson was viciously bashed, the Queensland ALP caucus met and unanimously decided that no inquiry would be held.

As no charges were laid either against Paterson, or the sergeant involved, the incident could not be tested in court, and thereby be made public.

My biography of Paterson, published in 1997 by UQP, reveals that the Communist MP’s attacker was a plainclothes policeman, JJ (Jack) Mahony.

As I also document in Fred Paterson: The People’s Champion, on March 18, 1948, the feisty independent MP for Mundingburra, Tom Aikens, asked this three-part question in Queensland’s one-house state parliament:

* Is it the intention of the government to prosecute detective Mahony for attempted murder or any other charge under the criminal code for brutally smashing Mr F Paterson, MLA, with a baton on the head from behind, in Edward Street, yesterday?

* Did Mahony so brutally attack Paterson under instructions from the government?

* If so, what did the government hope to gain by Paterson’s murder or serious injury?

In his parliamentary reply to Aikens, autocratic Labor Premier Hanlon did not mention any detail of the assault, Paterson’s name, or the Queensland detective’s name.

If the brutal bashing of an MP occurred in Australia today, there would surely be either an immediate state parliamentary inquiry, a royal commission or a formal investigation by the Australian Senate.

Yet, in the ALP-controlled Queensland of the late 1940s, an extremely serious assault upon a sitting member of parliament was greeted with an extraordinary official silence.

Paterson never fully recovered from head injuries.

In 1950, his Bowen electorate was gerrymandered out of existence and after unsuccessfully contesting the seat of Whitsunday, Paterson moved to Sydney where he worked part-time as a legal adviser to the NSW branch of the Australian Communist Party. He died in 1977.

It is hard to disagree with Paterson’s assessment of the significance of the savage attack on him in Brisbane on St Patrick’s Day 1948: “The story of this action, and the bashing of other people on this day, is one that should be told again and again, to expose the corruption of some members of the police force and the corruption of some government administrators.”

 

Ross Fitzgerald AM is emeritus professor of history and politics at Griffith University and the author or co-author of 45 books, including three histories of Queensland.

Republished from The Canberra City News, March, 11, 2024

https://johnmenadue.com/when-the-peoples-champion-got-walloped/

 

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