Tuesday 16th of July 2024

the front is collapsing....

Russia attacks in Toretsk, opening new front in Donbass. Surprise attack using a tunnel. Ukrainian conscripts abandon strategic fortified positions. Ukraine sends urgent reinforcements to halt and counterattack enemy gains. As of now, Russian forces have advanced 4 KMs and heavy fighting is taking place in the towns of Pivnichne and Niu-York.

Russian Breakthrough After Surprise Offensive in Toretsk

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VLuhProIGUY

 

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Now we come to a point where one of the last remaining American taboos - the use of western weaponry to attack pre-war Russian territory - is being pushed on, with both congressional Republicans and Secretary of State Blinken urging the Biden administration to give the green light. 

This seems to have been spurred at least partially by Russia’s new Kharkov front, with Ukrainian leadership complaining that they were unable to disrupt Russian staging due to American rules against firing on Russian territory. This is, of course, not true - Ukraine has been striking Belgorod oblast for many months, and have even made it a point of pride that they have “brought the war home” to Russia. We’re trapped in a narrative disparity where there are regular boasts about Ukraine’s successful strike program on targets in the Russian strategic rear, and yet we are to believe that the Russians were allowed to stage unmolested for the Kharkov operation because the AFU is not allowed to fire into Russia. It’s odd, to say the least. 

Regardless, the track record shows that the American government will inexorably yield to every Ukrainian ask, given enough time. Abrams, F-16’s, ATACMs - Ukraine always ends up getting what it asks for. It seems likely that before long, the formal American blessing will be given to accelerate strikes on prewar Russia. Facilities inside Russia will be hit. The Kremlin’s response will underwhelm and infuriate its supporters on the internet. 

The problem for Ukraine is that they tend to maniacally focus on token “big ticket” items that do not ameliorate their broader strategic crisis. License to hurl ATACMs at targets inside Russia is not a panacea for Ukraine’s bigger problem. Ukraine has already showed the ability to hit Russian strategic assets - sniping naval installations, radar, and air defense batteries. Ukraine’s successful strikes on such assets have continually trickled in as the west has propped up their strike capability with Storm Shadows, ATACMs, and more. And yet, Ukraine continues to give ground in the Donbas amid an increasingly dire shortage of basic war making necessities like infantry. 

The trajectory of the war suggests that the NATO bloc will do everything in its power to prop up Ukraine’s strike capabilities, and that Ukraine will continue to hunt for high profile strategic assets, even as it continues to be ground down in the critical theater, which is the Donbas. When the AFU is finally ejected from their last toeholds along the line - losing Kramatorsk and Slovyansk, being squeezed out of southern Donetsk Oblast, and forced back on the west bank of the Oskil, the temptation in Kiev will be to blame the west - that they gave too little, too slowly, too late. This is one lie that they must not be allowed to get away with. The NATO Bloc has, virtually without exception, given Ukraine everything they’ve asked for. It just didn’t matter.

https://bigserge.substack.com/p/russo-ukrainian-war-widening-the

christmas pony.....

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x04aS5vwIXc

Russia's Devastating Strike: Crushing Ukraine and Humiliating NATO! | Larry C. Johnson

 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4K_U15CkKbs

Scott Ritter: Russia is DEMOLISHING Ukraine's Military and NATO's Disaster is About to Get Worse

 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-g3tXY7WMQw

Ukrainian Defense In Pishchane And Niu York Has Collapsed⚔️ Military Summary For 2024.07.07

 

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europa ohne sicherheit....

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WVPAu3VZu5I

Ukraine War Is LOST! Ex-Military Adviser To Angela Merkel Speaks Out | Dr. Erich Vad

 

The military situation for Germany is not only bad, it's a catastrophe after the failed NATO proxy-war against Russia in Ukraine. Many people do not realise what the situation actually means for one of Europe's largest industrial nations. In this talk, Dr. Erich Vad exposes in detail the many flaws of German and European security.

Dr. Erich Vad was an advisor for security and defense policy in the Bundestag from 2000 to 2006, and from 2006 to 2013, he was a department head in the Federal Chancellery, Secretary of the Federal Security Council, and military advisor to Chancellor Angela Merkel.

Recently, Dr. Vad authored a new book in German titled “Abschreckend oder erschreckend? Europa ohne Sicherheit” ("Deterring or Frightening? Europe Without Security") and it is a book with a clear message: Europe must strengthen its military and achieve economic emancipation. Germany should be a driving force in this effort.

While I do not fully or even partially agree with some of Mr. Vad’s recommendations, I find his analysis of current events very worthwhile, as it comes clearly from realism, coupled with strong military considerations for European security.

 

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own fire.....

Claims by Ukrainian officials that Russia deliberately attacked civilian targets in Kiev on Monday are “absolutely untrue,” the Defense Ministry in Moscow has stated.

The Ukrainian capital was rocked by a series of powerful explosions earlier in the day, according to numerous videos published by local media. Civilians on the ground were reportedly injured.

Ukrainian leader Vladimir Zelensky has accused Moscow of deliberately targeting a prominent children’s hospital, claiming that “it’s impossible that Russia does not know where its missiles fly and must fully answer for its crimes.”

Ukrainian Interior Minister Igor Klimenko has branded Russia “a nation of terrorists and scum,”adding that at least seven people were killed in the capital.

The Russian military confirmed firing a barrage of long-range missiles on Monday, but stressed that it was targeting military factories and airfields in Ukraine.

“Claims by representatives of the Kiev regime alleging a purportedly deliberate Russian strike on civilian sites are absolutely not true,” the statement said.

“Numerous photos and videos from Kiev irrefutably confirm destruction by a Ukrainian anti-aircraft missile, which was fired by a launcher positioned inside the city,” it stated.

Russia reportedly used hypersonic air-launched Kinzhal missiles in the barrage. Senior Ukrainian officials have claimed that the weapons are vulnerable to interception by Patriot missile systems. Last week, a senior air defense commander said that no Kinzhal had pierced the American-made shield so far, despite Moscow firing over 20 of them.

“All the Kinzhal missiles launched at the Ukrainian capital since the deployment of Patriot systems was announced were successfully stopped. Not a single ballistic missile since May 2023 reached its target in the capital,” Colonel Sergey Yaryomenko, commander of the 96th air defense brigade, told the Ukrinform news outlet.

Moscow has previously said that Kiev exaggerates its interception rates. The Ukrainians claim to have shot down more Kinzhals than Russian forces have actually deployed, according to senior Russian military officials.

 

https://www.rt.com/russia/600627-kiev-missile-strike-kinzhal/

 

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