9 April 2025 by Peter Haenseler

In our series “The war of two worlds has already begun”, we have drawn up a long-term forecast. Trump sees an agreement with Russia as the basis for being prepared for the long-term competition between the worlds. Trump has many irons in the fire at the same time – possibly too many. In stark contrast to his balanced approach towards Russia, he is behaving extremely aggressively towards all other parties (Iran, Yemen, China, Mexico, Venezuela, Canada, Mexico, Greenland, etc.): carrot for Russia – stick for the rest of the world. In addition, the sword of Damocles of a financial collapse hangs over the red-blonde head of the dealmaker from New York City, who has chosen an envoy in Steve Witkoff who admires his master almost idolatrously.

In this article, I try to assess the chances of an arrangement between the two superpowers. As is so often the case, it is worth taking a look at history, the course of which is viewed completely differently in the US and Russia and could therefore become a stumbling block on the way to an agreement. The chess players in Moscow do not want a deal on Ukraine, but a comprehensive reorganization of relations, which also affects countries towards which the US behaves extremely aggressively. Trump wants quick deals, Putin has time.

We include many facts in this article with the clear understanding that it is impossible to cover everything; an attempt to describe all interdependencies would fail – and tomorrow everything could look completely different again. We are immersing ourselves in a world gone mad.

Many commentators speak of a new Yalta Conference, using this meeting as a comparison to the negotiations now taking place, usually without any proper understanding of history.

This conference took place in the vacation residence of Russian Tsar Nicholas II in Yalta, Crimea, between February 4 and 11, 1945, when the outcome of the war in Europe was a foregone conclusion. The “Big Three” (Stalin, Roosevelt and Churchill) discussed and agreed on many points. Some of these were adhered to by the parties, others are concealed today, bent or not adhered to at all. The original text of the Yalta Conference Agreement of February 11, 1945.

In addition to the reorganization of Europe and the founding of the UN, I believe that two points that are regularly omitted were of great importance. The substantial reparation payments to the Soviet Union, which the parties agreed on in principle in this paper, were not carried out or were not carried out sufficiently. Furthermore, many people are not aware that the Americans urgently needed help from the Russians to defeat the Japanese.

In Yalta, Stalin expressed his willingness to enter the war against the Japanese within three months after the victory against Germany and to confront the Japanese in Manchuria. In return, the Russians received Sakhalin and part of the Kuril Islands. The Russians kept their word, began the offensive with over 1.5 million soldiers to the day and overran the Japanese. The Japanese were ready to surrender weeks before the American atomic bombs were dropped on Japan because of this Russian invasion; the only condition was that the Tenno – the Japanese Emperor Hirohito – would keep his throne. The myth that the Second World War was ended by the Americans dropping atomic bombs on Hiroshima and Nagasaki persists to this day. I refer to my comments in my article “Bloodbaths change the world – Part 1” on this topic, which also reports on the Potsdam Conference of July/August 1945. After the capitulation, the Russians withdrew from Manchuria as agreed – they could have kept this territory without any problems. But Stalin kept his word.

The Russians were ripped off at the latest with the inauguration of Harry Truman. Harry Truman was the first conspicuous puppet of the Deep State. The fact that he was chosen as Vice President at all was a scandal, because the incumbent Vice President Henry Wallace would have been elected by an overwhelming majority for Roosevelt’s fourth term; Roosevelt also wanted him, but the puppet Truman was installed with a smear theater that would suit a banana republic. More on this in my article “Bloodbaths change the world – Part 1”.

President Truman completed a turnaround towards Russia within days. The Cold War began, the Russians were left out in the cold after the war and declared the new enemy. Germany was gobbled up, industrially rebuilt and rearmed, partly through the Marshall Plan. War criminals and former Nazis were integrated into politics and the Bundeswehr and post-war aid to Russia was canceled.

The public is aware, for example, that many Nazis were rehabilitated after the war (e.g. Manstein). However, the fact that war criminals of the worst magnitude – such as those sentenced to death in the so-called Einsatzgruppen trial – were for the most part released between 1951 and 1958 is deliberately omitted. This behavior of the Germans – under the knowledgeable guidance of the US – is partly responsible for the fact that Germans today completely lack an understanding of history and that German politicians and the media are once again inciting hatred against Russia and Russians. The parents and grandparents of this generation of haters will probably be turning in their graves every day, because they know where this hate speech can lead. I myself am at a loss for words.

This strategy was continued by the Americans until a few weeks ago and it was the US that provoked a military conflict with Russia since the fall of the Berlin Wall (NATO eastward expansion; Georgia, Maidan, Minsk I/II and, in my opinion, direct military conflict against Russia).

US aggression against Russia has thus been a recurring theme throughout history since the end of the Second World War, a world war which, it should be noted, the Russians won both in Europe and on whose help the US relied against the Japanese.

The Russian leadership is well aware of this and has every reason not to trust the Americans at all. This is evident from the behavior of the Russians.

You have to admit without envy that the Americans set the standard when it comes to marketing themselves and are the absolute number one in this discipline. They are so good at presenting an image of themselves that not only large sections of the world’s population believe these myths, but also the American people, the political establishment and even President Trump and his cabinet. This may prove to be the Americans’ undoing, as overestimating themselves or underestimating the other side very often leads to unsatisfactory results – just as in ordinary life.

The Americans have succeeded in creating a myth about their armed forces that has little in common with reality.

Many people in the West still believe today that the Americans won the Second World War because they defeated Hitler and Japan. However, this is by no means true. There are two ways of looking at how much a country contributed to the victory against Hitler. You can look at the active side, i.e. how many German soldiers were killed and by whom: The Soviet forces killed 76% of all German soldiers, all other Allies together (France, Great Britain, the United States, etc.) 24%. If you look at the passive side, i.e. how much blood the individual countries gave for the victory, the weight is even more striking, with the casualty figures for Russia shown on Statista showing 24 million instead of 27 million.

The Americans have always used D-Day, the landing of the Allies in Normandy on June 6, 1944, as a smash hit to celebrate the sacrifice of the Americans. The landing on Omaha Beach on 6 June is particularly instrumentalized as a marketing example. In the process, 2,501 American soldiers lost their lives. Approximately 250,000 Americans died in the entire European war. I don’t want to belittle the achievements of American soldiers here; every soldier who gives his life in war is a hero. Nevertheless, the numbers pale in comparison to the sacrifices made by the Soviet population: Soviet losses amounted to 19,054 deaths per day over a period of 1,417 days (22.6.1941-9.5.1945), a good half of them civilians who were slaughtered by German soldiers.

Further figures from an article by René Zittlau impressively illustrate the strikingly higher war burden of the Russians – see “The US is also rewriting history”

Nevertheless, Hollywood cements the American narrative brilliantly, even if it’s wrong, you have to pay respect to the way it’s done.

https://sonar21.com/trump-putin-a-deal-yalta-or-no-deal/

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