Thursday 29th of May 2025

initially, the liberal agenda appeared to energise the conservative base...

The future of the centre-right in Australia may depend on whether Sussan Ley can weather the current storm.

 

John Frew

Ley’s impossible task – Leading a party at war with its future

 

The Liberal Party’s historic loss in the 2025 federal election marked a seismic shift in Australia’s political landscape. Much of the blame can be traced to the Coalition’s increasingly hardline stance, a movement toward ideological conservatism that echoed US Republicanism and, in the eyes of many, made the party appear as ‘Trump-lite’. Emboldened by right-wing think-tanks and sympathetic media outlets, Coalition figures pushed policies such as big tax cuts for the wealthy, cuts to the public service and the endorsement of nuclear energy, an agenda that paralleled the post-2016 Republican platform.

Initially, this agenda appeared to energise the conservative base. But as Donald Trump’s legal troubles, autocratic behaviour and policy failures dominated international headlines, this alignment became politically toxic. Canada’s Conservative Party experienced a similar backlash when it leaned into Trumpian populism alienating moderates and suburban voters. In Australia, the results were devastating: the Coalition was abandoned by urban electorates and key demographics, particularly women and younger voters.

Now tasked with rebuilding from the ruins, newly elected Liberal leader Sussan Ley faces a party deeply divided. Her leadership contrasts sharply with that of her rival, Angus Taylor, a prominent figure of the party’s right.

Both leaders bring baggage. Ley’s past scandal involved the misuse of travel entitlements in 2016, which led to her resignation from Cabinet. She purchased an investment property during a taxpayer-funded trip. However, she took responsibility and gradually rebuilt her reputation through ministerial service and community engagement. Taylor’s controversies have been more numerous and persistent. From the forged document affair targeting Clover Moore, to the controversial water buyback deal (dubbed “Watergate”), and misleading emissions data, Taylor has been repeatedly accused of evasion, poor ethics and policy manipulation, without ever being held accountable.

Ley’s leadership win was narrow, and her mandate fragile. She now faces entrenched resistance from the party’s conservative wing. The recent split with the Nationals, who have doubled down on rural populism and pro-mining, anti-renewables rhetoric, is not just a Coalition issue. It signals open hostility toward Ley’s attempts to modernise and position the party towards the centre. [The two parties are now attempting to make up.]

Ley’s struggle is compounded by the gendered internal criticism she faces. Her attempt to introduce gender equity initiatives and climate pragmatism has been met with quiet sabotage and public sniping from senior conservative figures. This misogynistic undercurrent echoes the treatment of other female leaders, where competence is undermined by innuendo and ideological purging.

Recent editorials in The Australian and commentary on Sky News have framed Ley as “weak”, “disloyal to the party’s base”, and even “unelectable” despite her appeal to the voters the Liberals desperately need to win back. Meanwhile, conservative media figures and political donors, including Clive Palmer, Gina Rinehart, and outlets aligned with Rupert Murdoch, continue to push for a return to populist conservatism, undermining any attempt to reposition the party.

Ley also inherits a political map redrawn by the Teal independents, who have seized the socially progressive, fiscally responsible territory once occupied by the Liberal “wets”. Seats like Wentworth, Kooyong and North Sydney, formerly held by moderate Liberals and even prime ministers, are now in Teal hands. These electorates demand climate leadership, political integrity and gender equity; values Ley supports but struggles to advance in a party beholden to hardliners.

The challenge is near-impossible: she must rebuild urban and female voter confidence while fending off internal revolts, public right-wing hostility, and co-ordinated donor/media opposition.

Ley is in an unenviable position, caught between a party dominated by conservative resistance and a national electorate demanding modern, inclusive and moderate leadership. Her efforts to reclaim the centre face relentless opposition not just from political rivals, but from powerful figures in the media and donor class who are invested in maintaining ideological control.

If she fails to shift the party, it risks further erosion, not only in votes, but in relevance. The future of the centre-right in Australia may depend on whether Ley can weather this storm or whether the Teals will permanently occupy the political ground the Liberals once called home.

https://johnmenadue.com/post/2025/05/leys-impossible-task-leading-a-party-at-war-with-its-future/

 

YOURDEMOCRACY.NET RECORDS HISTORY AS IT SHOULD BE — NOT AS THE WESTERN MEDIA WRONGLY REPORTS IT.

 

         Gus Leonisky

         POLITICAL CARTOONIST SINCE 1951.

 

unloading....

Queensland Nationals MP Colin Boyce has unloaded on party leader David Littleproud, refusing to support his leadership and saying he misled colleagues over the scope of demands made during the split with the Liberals.

In comments that increase the chances of a Nationals’ leadership spill when parliament returns in late July, Boyce said he was “100 per cent disappointed, furious in fact” about how the Coalition split played out.

“How David Littleproud’s leadership pans out in the long term is unknown. I can’t support a man who misleads the party room,” Boyce said.

The Nationals quit the federal Coalition last week, the first split in 38 years, after a dispute over four key policies – support for nuclear power, laws that could force supermarket divestiture, improved regional mobile phone coverage and a billion-dollar regional fund – as well as Littleproud’s demand to end the principle of shadow cabinet solidarity, which binds frontbenchers over collective decisions.

 

But after an outcry from party elders, including former prime ministers John Howard and Tony Abbott, and hasty repair efforts from former Nationals leaders Barnaby Joyce and Michael McCormack, Littleproud and Liberal leader Sussan Ley returned to the negotiating table to reform the alliance late last week.

Littleproud told Sky News on Monday evening that it was still up to the Nationals in the party room to decide if they would return to the Coalition.

“We want to be in a Coalition, but I’m not going to walk away from the values and principles of the people who sent me to ­Canberra,” Littleproud said.

“We’ll continue to review some of those policies, including net zero,” he said, a day after deputy party leader Kevin Hogan said debate over the policy was settled.

 

READ MORE:

https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/100-per-cent-disappointed-furious-nationals-mp-says-littleproud-misled-the-party-20250527-p5m2ko.html

 

READ FROM TOP.

 

YOURDEMOCRACY.NET RECORDS HISTORY AS IT SHOULD BE — NOT AS THE WESTERN MEDIA WRONGLY REPORTS IT.

 

         Gus Leonisky

         POLITICAL CARTOONIST SINCE 1951.

reflecting....

 

Jenny Hocking

The Coalition splits, maybe not

 

If there was ever any question about the dire state of conservative politics in Australia after the Coalition’s comprehensive election rout, the self-indulgent posturing of the past week leaves no doubt.

The Coalition has just recorded the worst result in its 80-year history, with 43 seats out of 150 in the House of Representatives to Labor’s 94 – and counting. Within the now splintering Coalition, the National party has 15 seats and, with just five Senators, does not even reach “major party” status in the Senate. The Liberal party was the election’s biggest loser in the Labor landslide to now have 28 seats.

It is a staggering loss and one that augurs the end of the Liberal party as a political force unless the need for wholesale changes at every level — organisational, membership, pre-selection and, above all, policies — is acknowledged and acted on. To her credit, the new Liberal leader, Sussan Ley, in her first major statement recognised this, declaring that a defeat of such scale demanded a root and branch review of every aspect of the party’s election campaign. This was an essential recognition of the need for renewal and rebuilding that faces every party in opposition, to make it “relevant and electable” again.

Ley’s election was itself historic. Not only is she the first woman to lead the Liberal party, most telling in this tawdry internecine power play, is that she is also therefore the first female leader of the Coalition. And therein lies a tale, one that ought to be central to any understanding of the National Party’s petulant refusal to accept Ley’s authority over her own party, let alone over the Coalition.

Ley had been leader for barely a week when, in a moment of post-election denial and delusion, the leader of the National Party, David Littleproud, demanded that she pre-empt the slated election review and lock in place the very policies that had driven the Liberal’s disastrous electoral showing. Littleproud handed Ley an ultimatum – that she pre-emptively accept four key policy positions before the planned review had even begun. If not, he would pull the Nationals out of the Coalition and, not to put too fine a point on it, wreck the joint. Those demands were: a recommitment to Peter Dutton’s failed nuclear energy policy, a $20 billion regional infrastructure fund, communication services guarantees in the bush, and divestiture powers to break up supermarkets found to be abusing market share.

Significant in all of this is the Coalition’s archaic view of women as both voters and politicians – even those, as recent events have shown, at the highest level of its own leadership. The proportion of women MPs in the Liberal and National parties today is just 28.5% – less than a third. In the House of Representatives, the proportion of Coalition women members fell 3% at the 2025 election to now sit at just 21%, or barely one in five. Only three of the National party’s current crop of 15 “merit-based” MPs in the House of Representatives are women, and it has never had a female leader.

Any consideration of this critical context has been notably absent in the numerous political commentaries about Littleproud’s short-lived breach, each trying to find a new way to depict this conservative political upheaval as a cheesy “relationship” meme – because, well, a female leader. Welcome to the 21st century. Numerous commentaries reduced this significant political rupture to a personal one: “Liberals and Nationals consciously uncouple after long and fruitful marriage”; “After the Coalition’s very public split, I can only offer this time-honoured break-up advice: work on yourself’”; “As with all break-ups, you don’t want to say anything too harsh in case the couple gets back together”; “What does the divorce mean?” I won’t go on, it’s excruciating. Could these commentaries be any more reflective of the gender aspect to this episode, whilst at the same time completely overlooking it?

Ley had been leader for just over a week and was visiting her dying mother in Albury, when Littleproud drove to Albury three days after the death of her mother to give her the National Party’s ultimatum in person. Classy. Ley’s response to these standover tactics, “holding a gun to the Liberal Party’s head” as Malcolm Turnbull described it, was strong, calm and on point: the Liberal Party would now form the official Opposition, alone. “As the largest non-government political party, the Liberal Party is the official opposition,” Ley said, and the shadow portfolios would be “drawn exclusively from the Liberal Party party room”.

With the National Party sidelined by its own miscalculation, it looked as though Ley had just found the spine that Turnbull left on the floor of the Coalition party room 10 years ago when he capitulated to the National’s demands on climate action. Faced with the loss of shadow portfolios, status and resources, the National Party’s walkout lasted barely 24 hours before negotiations began, and within a week the Coalition was back.

If nothing else, Littleproud achieved something I never thought possible: he made Barnaby Joyce sound sensible. Joyce and others in the “sensible centre” of the deeply divided National Party immediately disputed Littleproud’s unilateral demand that the Nationals not be bound by Coalition cabinet solidarity, which had been neither raised with nor agreed to by the National Party room. This impossible demand would have ensured on-going disruption and public division over Coalition policies, given National Party members the right to dispute those policies, and permanently undermined Ley’s leadership and authority. Little wonder that she rejected it out of hand.

The equally damaging demand that the Liberals lock-in the retention of Dutton’s failed nuclear energy policy was politically no less damaging. It rested on a near delusional denial of the facts of the Coalition’s election loss, namely that the nuclear policy was electoral kryptonite that cost the Coalition as many as 11 seats. Yet this is one of the four major policies that the National Party is demanding be retained without review or reflection. They could scarcely have devised a clearer pathway to certain electoral failure. Littleproud has since agreed to a compromise, that the Liberal Party support the removal of the moratorium on nuclear energy, while leaving energy policy open to review. A position that was agreed to by the Nationals’ party room yesterday.

True to form, Littleproud and his supporters presented these rapid backdowns as a win, even while National Party MPs described his leadership as “terminal”. Matt Canavan, who had stood against Littleproud for the leadership, described the outcome as a “win” for regional Australia: “we will always fight hard for you!” he crowed, even as thousands of his regional constituents remained isolated by record floods and drought, exacerbated by climate change which Canavan, among others in the Coalition parties, continue to deny.

The damage from this “ seismic event” is profound and, despite all efforts now to successfully refloat the leaking Coalition, it will endure, eroding any remaining shared political calculus within the parties as much as between them. The critical question now, is whether the Liberals will succumb to the National Party’s demands and pre-emptively constrain Ley’s promised comprehensive review by removing these policies from its remit. The nuclear option was only adopted as a “ political fix” to counter the Albanese Government’s successful drive to renewables. It is a political chimera without hope of realisation, designed only to derail the push for renewables and prolong the life of fossil fuels. Australia is already on track to having 83% of our energy supplied by renewables by 2030 and to reach the Paris target of a 42% cut in emissions by 2030. With Labor’s landslide election result it can be expected to remain in government for at least six years, by which time the transition to renewables will be all but complete.

The Nationals’ demand that the Coalition again support a policy of untested and impossibly costly nuclear energy is, for the urban-based Liberal Party desperately in need of renewal, a vapid form of political suicide. Nor would overturning the moratorium on nuclear development be seen as a valid political compromise. It would simply signal to the electorate that the promised seven nuclear reactors remain in the Coalition wings, waiting to be reactivated should it ever return to government. That the Liberal Party could even be contemplating retaining it is an indication of just how far removed it is from contemporary Australian political reality.

https://johnmenadue.com/post/2025/05/the-coalition-splits-maybe/

 

READ FROM TOP.

 

YOURDEMOCRACY.NET RECORDS HISTORY AS IT SHOULD BE — NOT AS THE WESTERN MEDIA WRONGLY REPORTS IT.

 

         Gus Leonisky

         POLITICAL CARTOONIST SINCE 1951.