Friday 11th of September 2026

missing missiles do not win wars....

 

Is the United States running out of weapons of war?

Stories that Operation Epic Fury has depleted U.S. weapons stocks have dominated the headlines in recent weeks. Things have gotten so bad that the Pentagon has transferred weapons stored in Asia and Europe to replenish stockpiles in the Middle East. Even then, a shortage of missile interceptors reportedly persuaded President Donald Trump last month to call off plans for a major attack on Iran.

 

The U.S. Munitions Crisis

The war against Iran has shown that Pentagon’s reliance on hard-to-produce hi-tech weapons creates a vulnerability in a world in which quantity may overwhelm quality.

 

The Trump administration has variously denied that the United States faces a shortage of critical munitions, said that the shortages developed because President Joe Biden gave too many weapons to Ukraine to fight Russia, and argued that weapons manufacturers will soon speed up production.

The stakes in the debate over the state of the U.S. arsenal are high. Former Secretary of Defense Leon Panetta has warned that the United States now faces a “dangerous moment” because rivals may doubt it can deter their aggression. Which raises a question: how did the Pentagon find itself in a position in which military operations against a middle power could impair the U.S. ability to counter challenges from great powers?

To get a better understanding of the nature and extent of the munitions problem, I turned to my Council on Foreign Relations colleague Michael Horowitz. Mike is one of the country’s leading experts on how technology is remaking warfare. During the Biden administration, he served as Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Force Development and Emerging Capabilities and Director of the Emerging Capabilities Policy Office. He co-authored the CFR report, “Out of Ammo: A Two-Year Sprint to Rebuild the American Arsenal and Deter China,” which was published today.

We recorded our conversation for the latest episode of the CFR podcast, The President’s Inbox.

https://www.cfr.org/articles/the-u-s-munitions-crisis

 

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EP:39 - A Disastrous War

 

In this episode of "Provoked", Darryl Cooper and Scott Horton are joined by Middle East analyst and realist thinker Artemoine. Together, they dissect the rapidly deteriorating situation in the Middle East, focusing on the escalating Iran-Israel conflict, American involvement, and the broader implications for global power. The conversation is rich with strategic analysis, critiques of American foreign policy, and dark warnings about cycles of escalation and the potential for catastrophic outcomes. Special attention is given to the psychology of war, how political actors back themselves into corners, and the grave risks posed by an absence of credible off-ramps.

Key Discussion Points & Insights1. Current Escalation: Iran-Israel and US Involvement
  • Israeli Strikes on Iranian Infrastructure ([02:13]):
    • Recent escalation after Israeli attack on Iranian gas fields shared with Qatar.
    • Cooper describes Israel as possibly "doing dirty work" by provoking Iran to strike Gulf infrastructure, creating chaos in the region, potentially serving Israeli interests by keeping the entire region unstable.
  • US Under Pressure:
    • Artemoine explains that initial US plans expected a quick, decisive operation, not a prolonged attritional war:

      "The American plan... was to have basically 48 hours to 72 hours of conflict, decapitation, the regime capitulates, everything goes away."
      ([03:56], Artemoine)

    • Trump administration faces an "escalation trap," pressured by Israel and boxed in by early commitments.
2. War Psychology: Escalation Ladders and Proportionality
  • Shifting Iranian Doctrine ([09:55], [11:11]):
    • Previously, Iran practiced almost mathematical proportionality in retaliation (e.g., launching the same number of missiles as bombs dropped by the US).
    • Now, Iran is deliberately escalating, targeting more and hitting economic infrastructure, signaling a more existential, long-war approach.
    • Artemoine:

      "The side that escalates in a conflict like this is the one that is trying to get every side more involved... we are fast and quite quickly moving up escalation ladder."
      ([06:52])

  • "Madman" Theory and State Conduct ([11:11]-[14:00]):
    • Critique of Israel's "madman" campaign—acting with apparent disregard for red lines, targeting heads of state, and civilian infrastructure.
    • The notion that such actions are extreme even by historical standards.
3. Strategic Depth, Asymmetry, and Attrition
  • Iran’s Advantages and Doctrine ([14:00]–[21:00]):
    • Artemoine argues Iran’s strategic depth, redundancy in command, and civilizational endurance have been underestimated.
    • American and Israeli tactical superiority is acknowledged but seen as insufficient for strategic victory.
    • Resilience and the capacity for "pain tolerance" are described as key difference-makers.
    • Cooper:

      "We have to inflict enough damage and enough pain... to get them to tap out, which seems extremely unlikely."
      ([21:49])

  • Strait of Hormuz – Control Rather Than Closure ([22:39]):
    • Iran exerts control, not indiscriminate closure; allows tankers through selectively (especially for countries negotiating directly like China and India).
    • Leverage over global energy flows is a central tool.
4. Domestic Implications and Global Ripple Effects
  • Economic Warfare ([25:09]):
    • Iran’s strategy is to inflict economic and psychological pain beyond the battlefield: attacking energy infrastructure, affecting global markets, and exacerbating domestic political problems in the US.
    • US administration waivers, including the controversial decision to allow some Iranian oil onto the market to stabilize prices, is seen as a sign of desperation.
    • "It's like Vietnam 2.0 with, with drone technology strengthening the hand of the asymmetrical power here, Iran…"
      ([25:33], Artemoine)

  • Iranian Resilience and Sovereignty ([35:00]–[35:50]):
    • Decades of sanctions have fostered self-reliance and "rally around the flag" effects for the Iranian regime.
    • Iranian society is deeply divided, but external threats strengthen regime legitimacy.
5. The Joe Kent Resignation and "America First" Schism
  • Resignation as Warning ([36:19]):
    • Joe Kent, former director of the National Counterterrorism Center, resigned in protest, suggesting knowledge of "truly atrocious" options on the table.
    • Indicates a growing split within the administration and a crisis of conscience for staff unwilling to support further escalation.
    • Artemoine:

      "This sends a signal that there are people in the administration... unhappy. And he's opening the door for them to also have the courage to leave."
      ([36:19])

  • America First vs. Trump Loyalty:
    • America First, as an ideology, is argued to transcend Trump the person. Serving Israel over US interests is criticized as an abandonment of "America First" principles.
6. No Viable Off-Ramps—Entrapment and Catastrophe Risk
  • Inescapable Quagmire ([44:39]):
    • All sides face unacceptable outcomes:
      • Iran demands major concessions and enforceable guarantees.
      • Trump cannot accept a visible defeat.
      • Both are cornered by narratives and sunk costs.
    • "It's almost impossible to imagine the Iranians accepting anything less because... if we come back for round three... they'll be in a weaker position."
      ([42:42], Cooper)

  • Regime Change/Civil War Scenarios ([47:27]):
    • Israeli tactics to destabilize Iran (via proxies and urban unrest) have failed.
    • US does not want total "Syrianization" or state collapse, but may be swept into actions with unforeseen consequences.
7. Ultimate Escalation: The Nuclear Threat
  • Dangers of the ‘Escalation Ladder’ ([60:00]+):
    • Possibility of US or Israeli use of tactical nuclear weapons is discussed as a potential endgame if conventional means fail.
    • Artemoine warns:

      "I do think that... not because Iran is pounding Israel even, but because there is this impression that this nuclear bombardment works in Japan and therefore if that might work on Iran and get them to finally capitulate. Well, this didn't work in Japan..."
      ([64:00])

  • Transition to Post-Unipolar World Order ([72:00]+):
    • The war is described as marking the end of the "unipolar moment" of American power, potentially resulting in a world of empowered regional hegemons and permanently weakened US global leadership.
Notable Quotes & Memorable Moments
  • On American Escalation Trap:

    "Unfortunately, I think that Donald Trump is stuck in an escalation trap... It's something that's really a big deal. This is not an excursion, as the President called it."
    — Artemoine ([06:52])

  • On State Conduct in War:

    "States have this level of stability with one another no matter what kind of ideology they had... the idea that we are going to go and eliminate heads of state itself is something that's very out of, out of, you know, outside of interested relations."
    — Artemoine ([13:00])

  • Iran as a Realist Power:

    "Iran has staying power... this is an existential conflict for, yes, the Islamic Republic, but also Iran as a state."
    — Artemoine ([20:00])

  • Regime Change Fantasies:

    "You're not going to get regime change. You're either going to get state collapse, Syrianization, civil war and refugee flows and a failed state..."
    — Artemoine ([47:27])

  • The Nuclear Temptation:

    "We need to have huge red lines starting now as to what is it that America is going to do to prevent the hand of Israelis either to use tactical nuclear weapons themselves or force us to do it in the hope or the illusion or delusion that some sort of a nuclear attack on Iran is going to change the trajectory of this war..."
    — Artemoine ([64:00])

  • Systemic Change:

    "We are in this position in which this might escalate into this kind of a nuclear exchange. The first since 1945. And I think that is a death blow to American credibility, to American power. I think it's going to fundamentally reshape the world."
    — Artemoine ([72:00])

https://pod.wave.co/podcast/provoked-with-darryl-cooper-and-scott-horton/ep39-a-disastrous-war

 

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Ballistic Missile Expert Gives Terrifying Warning

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l0Dt1B1hdFw

 

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         Gus Leonisky

         POLITICAL CARTOONIST SINCE 1951.

         RABID ATHEIST.

         WELCOME TO THIS INSANE WORLD….

 

khameneicide....

The Kyle Anzalone Show [GUEST] Darryl Cooper: Khamenei Martyred, Iran in Chaos — What the West Isn’t Telling You

by Kyle Anzalone | Mar 18, 2026 | News | 3 Comments

Air defense looks clean on a diagram. In real war, it is messy, conditional, and expensive in ways most people never see until the alarms are late and the interceptors are flying in bunches. We sit down with Daryl Cooper to translate the jargon and show what “layered missile defense” actually means when Iranian ballistic missiles, drones, and cruise missile threats pressure the system day after day.

We walk through the U.S. missile defense stack in plain English: Aegis on ships, THAAD and Patriot batteries on land, the radar and satellite cueing that stitches everything into one shared track picture, and the uncomfortable truth that each layer covers the weaknesses of the others. We also get into why radar performance depends on physics and conditions, including clutter, sunrise effects, and smoke, and how losing early warning sensors can collapse warning time from minutes to seconds. That shift forces engagements into late mid-course or terminal phase, where hit probabilities drop and the price of staying safe becomes volleys of interceptors per incoming missile.

Then we zoom out to the strategy and politics shaping the Iran Israel conflict and the wider Middle East war. We talk saturation tactics, multiple re-entry vehicles, engagement queue limits, and the core economic imbalance where defense often costs far more than offense. Finally, we tackle U.S. foreign policy fallout through the Tomahawk missile controversy and what happens when leaders deny what the weapons, timelines, and target decks can confirm.

Subscribe for more deep dives, share this with a friend who wants a clearer view of missile defense and Middle East security, and leave a review with your biggest question after listening.

https://www.antiwar.com/blog/2026/03/18/the-kyle-anzalone-show-guest-darryl-cooper-khamenei-martyred-iran-in-chaos-what-the-west-isnt-telling-you/

 

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YOURDEMOCRACY.NET RECORDS HISTORY AS IT SHOULD BE — NOT AS THE WESTERN MEDIA WRONGLY REPORTS IT — SINCE 2005.

         Gus Leonisky

         POLITICAL CARTOONIST SINCE 1951.

         RABID ATHEIST.

         WELCOME TO THIS INSANE WORLD….

americanicide....

 

Some Shattering Illusions of Our Declining Empire

Americans are waking up to ugly truths.

George D. O’Neill Jr.

Now that the lofty 250th-anniversary rhetoric about the greatness of our country has faded, it is time to face the reality of our country’s actual behavior. The U.S. fashions itself as a generous and benevolent world leader enforcing the “rules-based order”—a deceptive construct used by globalist elites to bully other countries. The rules are arbitrarily changed to suit the bullies and are regularly fashioned into pretexts for military action against uncooperative nations. In short, it is a hoax, untethered from the principles and ideals of our founders.

Almost daily we witness some spectacle illustrating the appalling corruption of our country’s leadership. The recent release of Anthony Fauci’s diary entries confirms long-held suspicions about the Covid-19 narrative, which we now know even Fauci himself did not fully believe. Think of the millions of lives ruined and harmed by that corruption. Yet this vain phony, when asked to testify before Congress, hid behind half a dozen lawyers and refused to answer any questions. What a fine example of transparency from one of our leading scientists and civil servants! What else are our leaders still hiding about the worldwide disaster caused by Covid-related deceptions and manipulations? There has not yet been any meaningful examination of our medical profession, which largely acted as cowards during the pandemic, adhering to the bogus official narrative at the expense of the welfare of their patients.

Our leadership has not even begun to scratch the surface of the horrors created by the many secret—and potentially illegal—biolabs scattered around the globe, supported by funds often hidden from voters under the guise of “national security.” The Fauci crowd appears to have been deeply involved in that dark world.

America’s Middle East policy remains a source of shame. The U.S. Treasury secretary brags about ruining the currency of the Iranian people, against whom we have waged a war of aggression. In Gaza, Washington has enabled a brutal assault on a vulnerable population. Not many years ago, most Americans considered standing up for the vulnerable and innocent an honorable act of a true American. Not our leaders. These days, opposing the harm of politically inconvenient innocents attracts name-calling, ostracism, and sanctions. What would our Founding Fathers have thought of that?

The current wars have exposed the shortcomings of our nearly trillion-dollar military and its multi-billion-dollar weapons systems. If the Covid mess is any indication, we should assume there is hidden and shockingly ugly information about the behavior and practices of the military-industrial complex. The failure of our various expensive defense systems to protect our Persian Gulf “allies” from Iranian missile and drone attacks is a tragic example of government dishonesty. Despite repeated failures, the administration continues to brag of its ability to destroy Iran’s military and shoot down its remaining missiles and drones. After years of being told we possess the “most powerful military” in history, Americans are beginning to realize it is a fantasy. The success of that false narrative rests on decades of fighting people riding donkeys and bicycles.

Our government classifies and redacts documents as a matter of course. Think of the billions of pages we are still not allowed to see—especially information about the most important events in our country’s history. Many significant, history-changing events remain shrouded in secrecy. How is it that information is still being withheld about the assassination of President John F. Kennedy? After six decades, what bad behavior are they still “protecting” from the public? Most Americans suspect the official government narrative was false, yet officials continue to withhold information that might shed light on that crime. The same is true for the assassinations of Robert F. Kennedy and Martin Luther King Jr., our government’s willful abandonment of U.S. prisoners of war in Vietnam, the September 11 attacks, and the late, disgraced financier Jeffrey Epstein. Not to mention the disgusting manipulations and secret operations used to drag our country into the long list of dishonest, illegal, and failed wars we have “fought.”

Our political leadership’s frenzied efforts to hide the Epstein files make it look as though the “national security” excuse is merely a convenient tool to obscure malfeasance, rape, blackmail, bribery, and plain old corruption. They clearly believe they are not subject to the same pesky and inconvenient laws as the rest of us who live in the country. So much for equal protection under the law and the “rules-based order.”

We watch with horror the chaos, death, and destruction currently being wreaked on the world—and on our own country—by our “exceptional nation.” Why has the second Trump administration bombed at least seven countries and engaged in underhanded efforts to weaken and harm the political systems of others? None of this serves the interests of the American people; it serves only the special interests of our elites. All this from a president who campaigned on an America First policy, an end to forever wars, and the promotion of peace. It looks like we were fooled again. Presidential candidate after presidential candidate promises peace, and we get war after war. The system is subverted by corruption.

As the failure of the illegal war against Iran becomes increasingly obvious, more Americans are realizing that it in no way serves their interests. As the war against Russia in Ukraine grinds toward failure, American and European leaders continue more frantically than ever to promote the fantasy that Ukraine can defeat Russia in that sad and disastrous conflict.

There is one positive development: The American people, especially the younger generation, are beginning to recognize the corruption at the top of our country and the magnitude of the war lies. They understand that the special interests driving these belligerent policies care nothing about the well-being of the general populace or of our nation. There has always been skepticism toward powerful special interests, but we are moving past skepticism into righteous fury.

This is also true of our “allies,” who watched U.S. elites prioritize Israel over American security when the missiles started flying.

Ours is not an “exceptional nation.” It is not the “shining city on a hill.” It is not “a thousand points of light.” Not anymore. It is a declining empire with a declining military—one unable to protect its allies, yet still seeking to bully and harm any country that angers its corrupt elites.

Our military defenses are so ineffective that Iran—a country one-fourth our size, with an economy smaller than our bloated military budget—can practically name its next round of targets knowing our mighty military can do little to stop them.

With a governing elite that serves foreign and special interests rather than the people and a sweeping surveillance state that stretches from sea to shining sea, Americans are becoming increasingly disillusioned. A sobering question to consider: When the illusion finally shatters, who will be left willing to defend a government that wouldn’t defend its own?

 

George D. O’Neill, Jr., is a member of the board of directors of the American Ideas Institute, which publishes The American Conservative, and an artist who lives in rural Florida.

https://www.theamericanconservative.com/some-shattering-illusions-of-our-declining-empire/

 

 

READ FROM TOP.

PLEASE VISIT:

YOURDEMOCRACY.NET RECORDS HISTORY AS IT SHOULD BE — NOT AS THE WESTERN MEDIA WRONGLY REPORTS IT — SINCE 2005.

         Gus Leonisky

         POLITICAL CARTOONIST SINCE 1951.

         RABID ATHEIST.

         WELCOME TO THIS INSANE WORLD….