Saturday 31st of October 2026

it's time for the australian government to realise it has been swindled by the nazi US/kiev regime.....

“The Soviets allowed reunification {of Germany} because the Allies had promised they would not expand NATO eastward, inside Germany or beyond,” Scott Horton explains near the beginning of “Provoked: How Washington Started the New Cold War with Russia and the Catastrophe in Ukraine,” his recently released diatribe [sic] on how the West, and especially the United States, precipitated the current situation in Ukraine. “Of course, the various administrations and their partisans have lied about it snice[sic], at times claiming this pledge either never happened, or that it only ever applied to NATO forces within Germany, but not the rest of Eastern Europe.”

 

‘Provoked’ a fascinating read for those into politics

Posted: Sunday, June 15, 2025

“Provoked: How Washington Started the New Cold War with Russia and the Catastrophe in Ukraine” by Scott Horton. Austin, TX: The Libertarian Institute, 2024, 690 pages, $29.99 (paperback).


“One may object that the deals were struck with the USSR, not post-Soviet Russia, and argue that countries which were still Soviet republics or in the Warsaw Pact could not have been up for consideration anyway, but that is incorrect,” Horton continues a little later in the inaugural chapter. “As shown above, nations such as Poland and Hungary were brought up by name in the Promises on NATO expansion in early 1990, along with more general references to Eastern Europe,
while the Warsaw Pact was not dissolved until March 1991.”
So begins an intriguing and exceptionally in-depth foray into how we arrived at the current conflict between Russia and Ukraine. As indicated by the extensive footnotes that populate virtually every page of this exhaustive treatment of the subject matter at hand, the author is obviously well-versed in the nuances of the thesis he is vociferously promoting. Every statement made is scrupulously referenced and thoroughly documented. At the same time, as I read further into the assertions being made, I was reminded again and again of the famous line by Queen Gertrude in Hamlet, “The lady doth protest too much, methinks.” Horton is working very hard to lay the blame for Russia’s expansionist tendencies on the American doorstep.
Structurally, the book consists of eight chapters, following the chronological progression from President George H.W. Bush through President Joe Biden, with a passing reference to the second term of President Donald Trump, which became a reality as “Provoked” was being published. He is convinced, and he wants you to be, that each succeeding Administration beginning with George H.W. Bush, contributed to Ukraine’s present disaster. To be sure, some of what Horton describes was unintentional, but very little was done when these errors in judgment were pointed out. He ends the book with “Good Night and Good Luck,” a brief epilogue that serves as a fitting capstone to this political sermon.

Probably best known as host of the Scott Horton Show podcast, Horton is also director of The Libertarian Institute as well as editorial director of Antiwar, an online publication. His previous books include “Enough Already: Time to End the War on Terrorism,” in 2021, and “Fool's Errand: Time to End the War in Afghanistan,” in 2017.
Most students of history will find this volume difficult to put down. You learn something new about things you thought you knew intimately on every page. The more casual reader, however, will find it challenging to make it all the way through this one. Although illuminating, Horton’s rather scholarly approach can be tedious and the constant citations constitute a huge distraction. Moreover, the narrative alternates between formal, intellectual discourse that sounds objective and vernacular prose more befitting a social media post.
Still, I did find several passages to be extraordinarily cogent. For example, consider the following from the chapter on Donald Trump’s first term:
“Though the government and establishment media constantly abuse the term “conspiracy theorist” to mean anyone who does not believe their own conspiracy theories on any given subject, there truly is such a thing as classic, circular logic-driven, conclusion-jumping narratives that people accept despite all evidence to the contrary – and the type of nut who believes in them. Recent examples from pop culture include the belief among some groups that nuclear weapons do not really exist, that JFK Jr. is still alive, and that the Earth is actually flat.”
And some, I suppose, will put “Provoked” into this category.
The duplicity Horton goes to such lengths to expose is reinforced by Michaelangelo Carus in his compelling critique of “Provoked” on Miles Wire, an online publication maintained by The Mises Institute, a non-profit organization that exists to promote teaching and research in the Austrian School of economics:
“From George H.W. Bush to today, the record meticulously compiled by Horton demonstrates that U.S. and other Western leaders communicated to Russian leaders and officials that NATO would not expand east—and could even allow for Russian membership in NATO. Various efforts like the Partnership for Peace and the Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe were promoted to foster this impression that Russia would be included in European affairs, alliances, and institutions, rather than these structures aligning against them. All the while, these same U.S. and Western leaders took virtually the opposite positions internally, with the result that the U.S. willfully misled the Russians. The exact internal and external postures waxed and waned over the years, but this ultimate pattern held firm. This was even though, all along, Russian officials warned about how they and the Russian people would react to NATO advancing east. What we see is, in terms with which Americans are well-familiar, ‘a long train of abuses and usurpations, pursuing invariably the same Object.’”
Ultimately, I found “Provoked” to be provocative and even somewhat seductive given the painstakingly detailed way Horton lays out his case. I still believe he goes over the top with the dismissive attitude he projects toward anyone who might not be buying his primary thesis – but then again, we all tend to do that from time to time. I’m not recommending this one highly, but anyone who has an innate interest in history, politics, and alternative explanations will find Horton’s latest manuscript to be a fascinating read.
So pick up a copy if you’re headed to the beach for a couple of months and need something to read that will impress passersby.
Reviewed by Aaron W. Hughey, University Distinguished Professor, Department of Counseling and Student Affairs, WKU.

 

======================

 

WE RECOMMEND THIS BOOK HIGHLY...

 

The New York Times published a ridiculous article smearing me with misleading claims, and even used an image of my face menacingly crossed out by a red line.

The newspaper dismissed my factual statement that the United States sponsored a violent coup d’etat to overthrow Ukraine’s democratically elected President Viktor Yanukovych in 2014, calling this objective truth a “conspiracy theory,” while deceptively erasing the overwhelming evidence that I presented.

Ironically the Times itself, back in 2014, reported some of these facts that it now disparages as a “conspiracy theory,” as I document below in this article.

The Times’ hatchet job violates basic journalistic practices. The newspaper did not even reach out to me with a request for comment, while it defamed me and published a photo of my face.

The smear piece is a case study in the US newspaper of record’s propaganda techniques. And it is part of a transparent drive to advance the US government’s new cold war on China and Russia.

The fact that the New York Times collaborates closely with the US national security state is well established. The newspaper has publicly admitted to sending sensitive stories to the US government for approval before publication, to ensure that “national security officials” have “no concerns.”

Prominent former New York Times reporter James Risen wrote in an exposé that the newspaper’s editors are “quite willing to cooperate with the government,” and that there has been an “informal arrangement” in which US officials “regularly engaged in quiet negotiations with the press to try to stop the publication of sensitive national security stories.”

The Times also has a long, inglorious history of attacking anti-war voices in the United States, while spreading demonstrably false claims from anonymous government officials to justify Washington’s wars, from Vietnam to Iraq, Libya to Syria.

I don’t need to remind anyone of the Times’ leading role in amplifying lies about supposed “weapons of mass destruction” (WMDs) in Iraq.

But there have also been many lesser-known fake news stories disseminated by the US newspaper of record, like when it blamed Vietnamese communists for the Gulf of Tonkin incident, or falsely claimed that Iraqi soldiers took Kuwaiti babiesout of incubators to die, or amplified the lie that Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi gave Viagra to his soldiers and encouraged them to sexually assault women.

Then there are the more recent examples of the Times willingly spreading US government disinformation, from the debunked Russiagate conspiracy theory to the completely manufactured “Bountygate” scandal, to the equally ludicrous fake news farce known as “Havana Syndrome” – the notion that mass hysteria suffered by US spies was secretly caused by futuristic Russian, Chinese, and/or Cuban “microwave weapons” or “radiofrequency energy” ray guns.

The newspaper’s April 11 report, titled “China’s Echoes of Russia’s Alternate Reality Intensify Around the World,” follows in this same propagandistic vein.

The article was written by Paul Mozur, Steven Lee Myers, and John Liu. The Times apparently needed three reporters to file this story, but not one of them could be bothered to reach out to me for comment.

If they were students in a college journalism 101 class, they would have failed their assignment.

The director of the CIA, William Burns, confirmed in a Senate Intelligence Committee hearing this March that Washington is engaged in an “information war” against Russia.

Former top State Department official Eliot A. Cohen likewise stated clearly that, in Ukraine, the “United States and its NATO allies are engaged in a proxy war with Russia.”

This New York Times smear piece must be understood in this context: The newspaper of record is acting as a tool of US government information warfare, a hatchet man for Washington, launching neo-McCarthyite attacks on independent journalists who dare to challenge the official NATO propaganda line.

The article accuses China of helping Russia amplify purported “disinformation” over the war in Ukraine. And it singles out this present author, independent journalist Benjamin Norton, smearing my factual statements as so-called “conspiracy theories.”

The newspaper published the following passage:

Russian and Chinese state media have also increasingly drawn on the opinions of the same group of internet celebrities, pundits and influencers, featuring them on their shows as well as in YouTube videos. One of them, Benjamin Norton, is a journalist who claimed that a coup sponsored by the United States government took place in Ukraine in 2014 and that U.S. officials had installed the leaders of the current Ukrainian government.

He first explained the conspiracy theory on RT, although it was later picked up by Chinese state media and tweeted by accounts like Frontline. In a March interview, which China’s state broadcaster, CCTV, trumpeted as an exclusive, Mr. Norton said the United States, not Russia, was to blame for Russia’s invasion.

“Regarding the current situation in Ukraine, Benjamin said that this is not a war caused by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, but a war planned and provoked by the United States as early as 2014,” an unnamed CCTV narrator said.

For starters, the specific RT interview that the Times referenced was a discussion I had with left-wing American comedian Lee Camp, and it was actually conducted on February 23, a day before Russia invaded Ukraine (although it was not published until February 25).

Camp has a long history as a grassroots activist in the US anti-war, anti-racist, and environmentalist movements. The notion that he was secretly being controlled by the Kremlin is laughably preposterous.

Camp had repeatedly emphasized for years that he had total editorial control over his show – until YouTube erased his hundreds of episodes in an authoritarian purge of undesirable “Russia-linked” journalists.

The New York Times has already faced backlash for spreading ridiculous, defamatory claims about Lee Camp as well. It was only a matter of time until it came after me, in its war on progressive independent journalists.

The most cartoonishly nonsensical claim in the Times’ smear piece is the idea that the US government organizing a coup in Ukraine is an outlandish “conspiracy theory.”

Anyone vaguely familiar with the elementary history of US foreign policy knows that Washington has sponsored coups d’etat around the world – from Iran in 1953 to Guatemala in 1954, Congo in 1960 to Brazil in 1964, Indonesia in 1965 to Chilein 1973, Haiti in 1991 to Haiti again in 2004, Venezuela in 2002 to Ukraine (the first time) in 2004, Honduras in 2009 to Bolivia in 2019, and so, so many more.

Then again, the New York Times has a long history of echoing disinformation from anonymous US government officials in order to deny and whitewash these coups, so perhaps it should come as no surprise that it remains in denial about the 2014 US-backed putsch in Ukraine.

After absurdly accusing me of promulgating a “conspiracy theory,” the Times embedded a screenshot of a March 11 tweet from China’s news program Frontline, with an image of me. The newspaper added a red line, crossing out the tweet – and my face.

he Times did not actually embed the tweet, so its readers were not able to watch the video clip to hear my full comments.

The newspaper also conveniently failed to mention my citation of the leaked recording of a 2014 phone call in which US Assistant Secretary of State for European and Eurasian Affairs Victoria Nuland discussed who the prime minister of Ukraine’s post-coup government would be, and who did indeed become prime minister a few weeks later.

These omissions show how disingenuous the corporate media’s propaganda is. Legacy publications like the New York Times believe their audience is so foolish and so susceptible to foreign supposed “disinformation” that they will not even let readers listen to a 30-second video of an independent American journalist and make up their own minds.

In the clip, I made the following, 100% factual comments about the Ukraine crisis:

They [Western governments] promised this [not to expand eastward after the reunification of Germany] to the Soviet Union multiple times; we have the documents showing it. And NATO lied.

And we also have a recorded phone call, from the top US diplomat Victoria Nuland, in which she actually handpicks the top officials of the Ukrainian government that took over after the 2014 US-backed coup.

This coup in Ukraine is what started a civil war in the country, and now they act as though they have nothing to do with it, and Russia is the only aggressor.

According to the New York Times, these objectively true statements – that Western governments repeatedly broke their promise to Moscow not to expand eastward, and that Washington sponsored a coup in Ukraine in 2014 – constitute a dangerous “conspiracy theory.”

As of the publication of this present article, April 14, this Frontline video has only 158 views, 10 likes, and three retweets on Twitter. But the US newspaper of record wants its readers to believe that this little-seen clip of me stating undeniable facts about the recent history of Ukraine endangers the very fabric of American society.

It is an uncontroversial matter of public record that the US government sponsored the 2014 coup in Ukraine.

The 2014 phone call between Victoria Nuland and the US ambassador to Ukraine, Geoffrey R. Pyatt, is a smoking gun.

In the leaked recording – a transcript of which was published by the BBC – Nuland and Pyatt can be heard discussing who would be the new prime minister of Ukraine’s upcoming post-coup regime.

“Yats is the guy who’s got the economic experience, the governing experience,” Nuland said, referring to Arseniy Yatsenyuk, showing her cozy relationship with the right-wing, pro-Western Ukrainian politician by shortening his surname.

Mere days after the US-backed February 22 coup, Yatsenyuk became prime minister of Ukraine – just as Nuland had insisted he should.

Yet the smoking gun evidence of a top State Department official and US ambassador discussing who the prime minister of Ukraine would be was overshadowed by another comment Nuland made in the phone call: “Fuck the EU.”

That single line inspired condemnations by European governments, and got much more attention than the fact that US diplomats were caught hand-picking the leaders of the upcoming Ukrainian coup regime.

In its April 11, 2022 smear piece attacking me, the New York Times refused to acknowledge this Nuland phone call. But the newspaper did repeatedly report on the recording back in 2014.

In fact, US government officials confirmed the authenticity of this leaked phone call in none other than the New York Times itself.

In a February 6, 2014 report, the Times admitted that the recording of the call was posted on Twitter “just as Ms. Nuland was in Kiev meeting with Mr. Yanukovych and opposition leaders.”

Then on February 10, the newspaper published a softball article on Nuland, in which the hardline right-wing hawk shrugged off the scandal and proudly confessed, “I’m well known as the least diplomatic diplomat there is.”

But now, in 2022, the Times acts as though acknowledging these events that the newspaper itself reported back in 2014 is indulging in a dangerous “conspiracy theory.”

The New York Times claims the fact that the US government sponsored a coup in Ukraine is part of an “alternate reality.” But the historical record shows that the Times is the one living in an alternate reality, where the US government’s crimes don’t exist, and the Kremlin alone is responsible for all evildoing in the world.

The reality that the violent 2014 overthrow of Ukraine’s democratically elected President Viktor Yanukovych was a coup d’etat has also been obliquely acknowledged by the New York Times.

In a February 22, 2014 report on his violent ouster, the Times quoted Yanukovych saying, “I am a legitimately elected president. What is happening today, mostly, it is vandalism, banditism, and a coup d’état.”

The newspaper presciently titled that article “With President’s Departure, Ukraine Looks Toward a Murky Future.” The country’s future was indeed quite murky.

On February 27, 2014, the Times followed up with a report on “Crimea, where a heavily ethnic Russian and Russian-speaking population mostly views the Ukrainian government installed after the ouster last weekend of Mr. Yanukovych as the illegitimate result of a fascist coup.”

A few weeks later, in a March 17 report on the rebellion by Russian-speaking Ukrainians in the east of the country, the Times admitted, “Many Ukrainians, who saw demonstrators in the capital chase President Viktor F. Yanukovych from office last month in what some in this country regard as a justified uprising and others call a coup, wondered what part of Ukraine might remain, day by day, under the interim government’s control.”

Of course I am far from the only journalist who has pointed out the US government’s role in the violent 2014 coup in Ukraine.

Back at the time, some of this was acknowledged even in mainstream outlets.

In an April 2014 article titled “It’s not Russia that’s pushed Ukraine to the brink of war,” published in top British newspaper The Guardian – the UK’s equivalent of the New York Times – columnist Seumas Milne noted that prominent US politicians like Senator John McCain were in Kiev’s Maidan Square in 2014, working alongside far-right extremists.

Milne recalled that “the Ukrainian president was replaced by a US-selected administration, in an entirely unconstitutional takeover,” and “the US ambassador haggled with the state department over who would make up the new Ukrainian government.”

The Guardian admitted these undeniable facts back in 2014. But now in 2022, according to the New York Times, this objective history is a scandalous “conspiracy theory.”

These views have also been expressed by renowned University of Chicago Professor John Mearsheimer, a mainstream political scientist who is highly respected in his field.

Mearsheimer’s 2015 University of Chicago lecture “Why is Ukraine the West’s Fault?” went viral in the wake of Russia’s February 24 invasion of Ukraine, and has roughly 25 million views as of the publication of this present article.

In that 2015 lecture, Mearsheimer repeatedly referred to the overthrow of Ukraine’s President Viktor Yanukovych in February 2014 as a coup. He added that there were “significant fascist elements among the protesters, who were armed, [and] there is killing on the Maidan.”

“If you have a coup in Kiev, and some of the people who come to power have fascist tendencies or are fascists, however you want to define that term, it’s going to have really huge consequences,” Mearsheimer said.

The scholar argued that the three “deep causes” of the crisis in Ukraine were NATO expansion, EU expansion, and US government “democracy promotion” programs – read: regime change.

“It just shows you how discombobulated American foreign policy is these days. And of course the Ukraine crisis is just one of many messes that we’ve made,” Mearsheimer summarized, referring to the US government.

Mearsheimer reiterated these points in a 2014 article, “Why the Ukraine Crisis Is the West’s Fault,” in Foreign Affairs, the magazine of the powerful US government-linked Council on Foreign Relations – the furthest publication possible from “Russian propaganda.”

But the New York Times dismissed this as a crazy “conspiracy theory.”

Mearsheimer in fact reiterated his analysis in a presentation on March 2, 2022, emphasizing the role of the United States and NATO in causing the war in Ukraine that was escalated by Russia’s February 24 invasion.

Mearsheimer explained that the crisis “was precipitated in large part by a coup that was supported by the United States that took place in Ukraine and resulted in a pro-Russian leader, President Yanukovych, being overthrown and being replaced by a pro-American prime minister.”

Mearsheimer was joined in this March 2 event by longtime former CIA analyst Ray McGovern, a specialist in Russian affairs. McGovern agreed that the US government sponsored the 2014 coup in Ukraine, pointing to the infamous phone recording of Nuland and Pyatt.

The US government stenographers at the New York Times would like their readers to believe that these undeniable facts are a loony “conspiracy theory,” and that anyone who mentions them is guilty of regurgitating “Chinese and Russian state propaganda.”

But many countries across the Global South recognize the role of the United States and NATO in starting the war in Ukraine.

The president of South Africa, Cyril Ramaphosa, blamed NATO for the violence in Ukraine, in comments to his country’s parliament on March 17: “The war could have been avoided if NATO had heeded the warnings from amongst its own leaders and officials over the years that its eastward expansion would lead to greater, not less, instability in the region.”

Bolivia’s former president Evo Morales, who was himself overthrown in a US-backed far-right coup in 2019, declared publicly that “the US uses Ukraine to militarily, politically, and economically attack the people of Russia.” He condemned “the interventionist expansionism of NATO and the US,” warning that its “hegemony of weapons and imperialism puts world peace at risk.”

Brazil’s left-wing Workers’ Party made similar comments. And The Guardian reluctantly acknowledged that many leaders across Africa are “calling for peace but blaming Nato’s eastward expansion for the war [in Ukraine], complaining of western ‘double standards’ and resisting all calls to criticise Russia.”

According to the New York Times, all of these Global South nations are engaged in an elaborate “conspiracy theory.”

Perhaps even current CIA Director William Burns himself could be accused of being complicit in this “conspiracy theory.”

Back in 2008, when he served as US ambassador to Russia, Burns published a confidential embassy cable in which he warned that NATO expansion to Ukraine would cross Moscow’s security “redlines” and “could potentially split the country in two, leading to violence or even, some claim, civil war, which would force Russia to decide whether to intervene.”

Was the former US ambassador to Russia and current CIA director guilty of spreading “Putinist disinformation” by acknowledging that Moscow might have to respond to Western military encirclement?

(It is worth emphasizing that we only have this document thanks to whistleblowing journalistic publication WikiLeaks, whose founder and longtime editor Julian Assange is a political prisoner, persecuted by the US government for daring to expose its crimes. The New York Times has been complicit in the information warfare campaign waged by Washington in order to vilify Assange and justify this gruesome campaign of political persecution.)

Outside of the bubble of Western chauvinism that the New York Times exists to reinforce, the vast majority of the world’s population clearly sees that the United States and NATO are responsible for the war in Ukraine.

But it is quite clear to me what the Times’ goal was in its deceitful April 11, 2022 smear piece: By including me in this article on so-called “disinformation” supposedly spread by Chinese and Russian media, the US newspaper of record is trying to get me banned on social media.

Over years of work I have managed to build a relatively substantial platform for my independent journalism. Large corporate outlets like the New York Times, which willingly collaborate with the US government, see me and other independent journalists as a threat to their chokehold on media.

So these legacy publications want to create some kind of justification for Twitter, Facebook, and YouTube to purge me and other independent journalists who expose the role of Washington in causing the war in Ukraine.

Their goal is authoritarian: they want control over all media, an iron grip on people’s access to information. They don’t believe in the freedom of the press or expression; they believe journalists or media outlets that expose inconvenient facts about the US government should be silenced and destroyed.

They are guilty of the very same authoritarian crimes that they project onto Washington’s geopolitical adversaries.

The Washington Post’s editorial board made this goal explicit in an article it published on the same day, April 11, calling on social media platforms to ban Chinese news outlets, supposedly for amplifying Russian “disinformation.”

Like the New York Times, the Washington Post enjoys a close relationship with the US government. The latter also happens to be owned by hundred-billionaire oligarch Jeff Bezos, whose company Amazon has massive contracts with the CIA, Pentagon, and other agencies that make up the US national security state.

The extreme neo-McCarthyite campaigns being driven by the Times, the Post, and many more corporate media outlets demonstrate how the mainstream press is a key instrument of Washington’s information warfare.

As the United States escalates its new cold war on China and Russia, leading newspapers are dropping any pretense of fidelity to basic journalistic principles and enlisting as loyal foot soldiers in the information war. Those of us who are independent journalists who refuse to dutifully toe the US regime’s line are in their crosshairs.

https://geopoliticaleconomy.com/2022/04/14/new-york-times-attack-propaganda/

 

PLEASE VISIT:

YOURDEMOCRACY.NET RECORDS HISTORY AS IT SHOULD BE — NOT AS THE WESTERN MEDIA WRONGLY REPORTS IT — SINCE 2005.

         Gus Leonisky

         POLITICAL CARTOONIST SINCE 1951.

         RABID ATHEIST.

         WELCOME TO THIS INSANE WORLD….

 

squad quad....

 

The Quad and the Squad: Washington’s Anti-China Coalitions

by Joseph Solis-Mullen

 

Washington is preparing for a new round of talks in the Indo-Pacific. The South China Morning Post reported on October 22 that Philippine ambassador Jose Manuel Romualdez anticipated possible meetings of the informal “Squad” security grouping ahead of regional summits in Manila. Meanwhile, Secretary of State Marco Rubio confirmed that the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue, or Quad, would hold its first leaders’ summit in more than two years. Both developments come as President Donald Trump prepares for another meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping.

The timing is revealing. For even as Washington seeks to navigate its fraught but improving relationship with Beijing, these meetings represent a strengthening of its network of partnerships intended to counter Chinese influence. While the Quad and Squad are two distinct components of that effort, there is little doubt that Washington’s expanding regional security commitments will do nothing to make Americans safer and will rather serve only to draw them further into a potentially catastrophic great-power confrontation.

For those in need of an understandable refresher, recall that the Quad comprises the United States, Japan, Australia, and India. Its origins lie in the four countries’ cooperation following the devastating Indian Ocean tsunami of 2004. After taking shape diplomatically in 2007, the grouping languished before being revived in 2017 amid mounting American concern about China’s regional influence.

To be clear, the Quad is not a formal military alliance, with no NATO-style obligation for members to defend each other. However, alongside its agenda items of infrastructure, critical technologies, disaster relief, and other areas of cooperation it does also include maritime security, which entails the risk of Washington becoming further embroiled in the territorial disputes of the region. This is particularly relevant to those concerned about foreign entanglements because at its most fundamental the Quad’s development was and remains a function of Washington’s desire to coordinate the activities of regional powers whose interests increasingly intersect with its own desire to contain Beijing.

Conceived in the early 2020s, as the fake China threat hysteria was reaching its apogee, the Squad swaps out India and brings the Philippines together the United States, Japan, and Australia. Unlike the Quad, it is an informal grouping centered directly on defense cooperation and maritime security in the western Pacific. Its first defense-ministerial meeting took place in 2023, as the four governments sought closer coordination amid rising tensions in the South China Sea.

The Philippines’ inclusion is consequential and fraught. This is because Manila has faced increasingly serious confrontations with Beijing over disputed maritime claims in recent years, and Washington maintains a mutual-defense treaty with the Philippines which it has clarified very much covers disputed bits of rock and sand in the South China Sea.

Concerning as well is that unlike the Quad, which features the independent minded New Delhi, which eschews commitments, in the Squad Washington has put together a grouping with whom it has mutual defense treaties with all the members.

And so, while the Squad is not itself a mutual-defense treaty among the members, its joint exercises, other maritime activities, and consultations are intended to demonstrate a collective resolve—a situation that bears the unmistakable appearance of then likewise informal Anglo-French military and diplomatic activities in the years leading up to 1914.

Indeed, enhanced cooperation and the expectations it creates, can easily lead to informal arrangements deepening military coordination without requiring the political scrutiny that might accompany a new formal alliance. They have, likewise in the past, led participating governments to interpret local disputes as tests of American friendship and credibility, raising the stakes of incidents that might otherwise remain regional affairs.

Alert Americans are therefore right to be concerned.

Fort both the Quad and Squad are functions of a strategic vision that treats the preservation of American primacy as inseparable from the containment of Chinese power. Washington would do better to distinguish the defense of Americans from the management of Asia’s balance of power.

The upcoming meetings should prompt a more fundamental question in the Beltway than whether Washington can coordinate its partners more effectively: rather, lawmakers should be demanding to know what, precisely, Americans are being asked to defend, and at what cost?

In a world where China cannot simply be subordinated to American preferences, peaceful coexistence requires more than assembling additional partners—nor does it follow that the accumulation of security partnerships necessarily produces greater security (the familiar security dilemma is at least as likely). Rather, it requires recognizing the limits of American power and abandoning the presumption that every challenge to American primacy everywhere must be answered. Restraint is not surrender; it is an acknowledgment that the risks of great-power conflict are too consequential to be treated as the price of maintaining an empire.

Though the case for restraint is plain enough, there is little reason to expect Washington to change course. Defense contractors profit from expanded procurement, fund think tanks, congressional campaigns, and enjoy a revolving door with the military bureaucracies eager for additional missions and resources. Politicians, meanwhile, can cheaply demonstrate their supposed “resolve” to “defend America” by pledging to defend partners abroad, leaving the American public to bear the risks and costs. These incentives are deeply embedded in Washington’s foreign-policy establishment, making it all but certain that policy will continue to serve the interests of the politically connected at the expense of the American people.

https://libertarianinstitute.org/articles/the-quad-and-the-squad-washingtons-anti-china-coalitions/

 

 

READ FROM TOP.

PLEASE VISIT:

YOURDEMOCRACY.NET RECORDS HISTORY AS IT SHOULD BE — NOT AS THE WESTERN MEDIA WRONGLY REPORTS IT — SINCE 2005.

         Gus Leonisky

         POLITICAL CARTOONIST SINCE 1951.

         RABID ATHEIST.

         WELCOME TO THIS INSANE WORLD….

 

SEE ALSO: 

an easy option: development or bombs...?