Tuesday 9th of August 2022

bad bullets in a bad gun……….

Before his retirement, Graham E. Fuller was the Vice President of the “National Intelligence Council at CIA”, responsible for the intelligence assessment of the global situation. And he still observes the geopolitical situation very closely as one of the most experienced experts. He has now published a short analysis of the war in Ukraine and Europe’s disastrous – not to say suicidal – policy.

 

When will Europe finally wake up?      by Graham E. Fuller, British Columbia, Canada

 

 

The war in Ukraine has dragged on long enough now to reveal certain clear trajectories. First, two fundamental realities:

  • Putin is to be condemned for launching this war – as is virtually any leader who launches any war. Putin can be termed a war criminal – in good company with George W. Bush who has killed vastly greater numbers than Putin.
  • Secondary condemnation belongs to the US (NATO) in deliberately provoking a war with Russia by implacably pushing its hostile military organization, despite Moscow’s repeated notifications about crossing red lines, right up to the gates of Russia. This war did not have to be if Ukrainian neutrality, á la Finland and Austria, had been accepted. Instead, Washington has called for clear Russian defeat.

As the war grinds to a close, where will things go?
  Contrary to Washington’s triumphalist pronouncements, Russia is winning the war, Ukraine has lost the war. Any longer-term damage to Russia is open to debate.
  American sanctions against Russia have turned out to be far more devastating to Europe than to Russia. The global economy has slowed and many developing nations face serious food shortages and risk of broad starvation.

 

“Deep cracks in the European façade of so-called ‘NATO unity’”

There are already deep cracks in the European façade of so-called “NATO unity.” Western Europe will increasingly rue the day that it blindly followed the American Pied Piper to war against Russia. Indeed, this is not a Ukrainian-Russian war, but an American-Russian war fought by proxy to the last Ukrainian.
  Contrary to optimistic declarations, NATO may in fact ultimately emerge weakened. Western Europeans will think long and hard about the wisdom and deep costs of provoking deeper long-term confrontations with Russia or other “competitors” of the US.
  Europe will sooner or later return to the purchase of inexpensive Russian energy. Russia lies on the doorstep and a natural economic relationship with Russia will possess overwhelming logic in the end.
  Europe already perceives the US as a declining power with an erratic and hypocritical foreign policy “vision” premised upon the desperate need to preserve “American leadership” in the world. America’s willingness to go to war to this end is increasingly dangerous to others.
  Washington has also made it clear that Europe must sign on to an “ideological” struggle against China as well in some kind of protean struggle of “democracy against authoritarianism”. Yet, if anything this is a classic struggle for power across the globe. And Europe can even less afford to blunder into confrontation with China–a “threat” perceived primarily by Washington yet unconvincing to many European states and much of the world.
  China’s Belt and Road initiative is perhaps the most ambitious economic and geopolitical project in world history. It is already linking China with Europe by rail and sea. European exclusion from the Belt and Road project will cost it dearly. Note that the Belt and Road runs right through Russia. It is impossible for Europe to close its doors to Russia while maintaining access to this Eurasian mega project. Thus, a Europe that perceives the US already in decline has a little incentive to join the bandwagon against China. The end of the Ukraine war will bring serious reconsideration in Europe about the benefits of propping up Washington’s desperate bid to maintain its global hegemony.
  Europe will undergo increasing identity crisis in determining its future global role. Western Europeans will tire of subservience to the 75-year American domination of European foreign policy. Right now, NATO is European foreign policy and Europe remains inexplicably timid in asserting any independent voice. How long will that prevail?
  We now see how massive US sanctions against Russia, including confiscation of Russian funds in western banks, is causing most of the world to reconsider the wisdom of banking entirely on the US dollar into the future. Diversification of international economic instruments is already in the cards and will only act to weaken Washington’s once dominant economic position and its unilateral weaponisation of the dollar.
  One of the most disturbing features of this US-Russian struggle in Ukraine has been the utter corruption of independent media. Indeed, Washington has won the information and propaganda war hands down, orchestrating all Western media to sing from the same hymnbook in characterizing the Ukraine war.  The West has never before witnessed such a blanket imposition by one country’s ideologically-driven geopolitical perspective at home. Nor, of course, is the Russian press to be trusted either. In the midst of a virulent anti-Russian propaganda barrage whose likes I have never seen during my Cold Warrior days; serious analysts must dig deep these days to gain some objective understanding of what is actually taking place in Ukraine.
  Would that this American media dominance that denies nearly all alternative voices were merely a blip occasioned by Ukraine events. But European elites are perhaps slowly coming to the realization that they have been stampeded into this position of total “unanimity”; cracks are already beginning to appear in the façade of “EU and NATO unity.” But the more dangerous implication is that as we head into future global crises, a genuine independent free press is largely disappearing, falling into the hands of corporate-dominated media close to policy circles, and now bolstered by electronic social media, all manipulating the narrative to its own ends. As we move into a predictably greater and more dangerous crises of instability through global warming, refugee flows, natural disasters, and likely new pandemics, rigorous state and corporate domination of the western media becomes very dangerous indeed to the future of democracy. We no longer hear alternative voices on Ukraine today.

 

Russia is driven into the arms of China

Finally, Russia’s geopolitical character has very likely now decisively tilted towards Eurasia. Russians have sought for centuries to be accepted within Europe but have been consistently held at arm’s length. The West will not discuss a new strategic and security architecture. Ukraine has simply intensified this trend. Russian elites now no longer possess an alternative to accepting that its economic future lies in the Pacific where Vladivostok lies only one or two hours away by air from the vast economies of Beijing, Tokyo, and Seoul. China and Russia have now been decisively pushed ever more closely together specifically out of common concern to block unfettered US freedom of unilateral military and economic intervention around the world. That the US can split US-induced Russian and Chinese cooperation is a fantasy. Russia has scientific brilliance, abundant energy, rich rare minerals and metals, while global warming will increase the agricultural potential of Siberia. China has the capital, the markets, and the manpower to contribute to what becomes a natural partnership across Eurasia.
  Sadly for Washington, nearly every single one of its expectations about this war are turning out to be incorrect. Indeed, the West may come to look back at this moment as the final argument against following Washington’s quest for global dominance into ever newer and more dangerous and damaging confrontations with Eurasia. And most of the rest of the world – Latin America, India, the Middle East and Africa – find few national interests in this fundamentally American war against Russia.  •

 

READ MORE:

https://www.zeit-fragen.ch/en/archives/2022/nr-14-28-juni-2022/wann-endlich-erwacht-europa

 
SEE ALSO: 

please, volodymyr, sign a deal with russia, before morons like bojo kill more of your kids….

 

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sign a deal, now, zelenskyy, PLEASE!!!!…….

Russian forces continue to advance on Wednesday July 6 in the Donbass, where the inhabitants of Sloviansk, Moscow's next target, are called upon to evacuate in the face of intense bombardment. “My main advice: evacuate! Donestk region governor Pavlo Kyrylenko told residents of the city of Sloviansk on Tuesday evening, adding that “during the week there was not a day without a bombardment”.

Journalists from Agence France-Presse saw rockets hit the central market of Sloviansk, where they caused a fire, adjacent streets were also affected. At least two people died. “Once again, the Russians are intentionally targeting places where civilians congregate. This is terrorism pure and simple, ”denounced Governor Kyrylenko, calling for evacuation.

During his speech on Monday evening, Volodymyr Zelensky explained that he needed "colossal funds" to help the population, rebuild cities and infrastructure destroyed by war, but also "prepare schools and universities for a new school year" and “getting ready for winter”. Its Prime Minister, Denys Chmyhal, traveling to the Lugano conference, presented a plan “estimated at 750 billion dollars”.

The Lugano conference, planned well before Russia invaded Ukraine at the end of February, has been trying since Monday to draw the outlines of the reconstruction of Ukraine. The foundations of a “Marshall Plan” for Ukraine must be laid there, even though there is no end in sight to the war and the cost figures for the country are still uncertain.

The French government will help with the reconstruction of the Chernihiv oblast according to a press release on Tuesday July 5, 2022: "France, including the State and local authorities, will focus its reconstruction efforts in particular on the Chernihiv region, which has been hard hit. affected by Russian bombing during the first weeks of the war. The city of Chernihiv has established ancient ties with France. »

The staff of the Ukrainian armed forces announced Sunday evening its withdrawal from the city of Lysytchansk, at the heart of fierce fighting in recent weeks, recognising the "superiority" of Russian troops on the ground. Russia announced, for its part, the "liberation of the 'People's Republic of Luhansk'".

In Siversk, about twenty kilometres west of Lyssytchansk, the Ukrainian forces seem to want to rely on a line of defence established between this city and Bakhmout, in order to protect Sloviansk and Kramatorsk. The inhabitants evoke increasingly intense bombings in recent days.

 

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Ukraine: the crucial issue of ammunition stocks

 

The war in Ukraine since February has offered the grim spectacle of a high-intensity conflict in which artillery is decisive and the outcome of which could also be played out on an essential logistical element: ammunition stocks.

 

Particularly hungry for projectiles of all kinds, from assault rifle bullets to 155 mm shells and precision missiles, the Ukrainian and Russian armies are waging a war of ammunition attrition, as with soldiers and equipment. Objective: outlast the enemy.

 

“It is the question of the moment”, confirms a high-ranking European who requested anonymity. “It is a question of flows and stocks (…). What characterizes a high-intensity conflict is the extremely high consumption of ammunition of all calibers. »

 

Regarding shells, for example, according to a report by the British institute RUSI, “Russia fires approximately 20,000 152 mm shells per day, compared to 6,000 for Ukraine”. But the protagonists do not have the same means. Russia relies on production distributed over its territory, with a controlled communications network. Ukraine, on the other hand, only resists thanks to the stocks and factories of the West.

 

https://www.lemonde.fr/international/live/2022/07/06/guerre-en-ukraine-en-direct-evacuations-en-cours-a-sloviansk-l-armee-russe-progresse-dans-le-donbass_6133531_3210.html

 

MEANWHILE:

 

A 10-year-old girl was sitting by a bank in front of her house in Donetsk when a shell fired by Ukrainian forces landed in the middle of the street, killing her. The child was torn apart by shrapnel, the grieving family told RT’s Ruptly video news agency. 

“My granddaughter has been blown into three pieces,” the girl’s grandfather told journalists. “Look there, there is blood everywhere,”he said, pointing to the metallic gates leading to the yard of his house. 

Pools of blood were still covering the street in the spot where the girl had been hit by the shell’s fragments.

“She did not make it home,” the girl’s grandfather added, pointing to the girl’s sneakers, which were lying on the ground near her home’s gate. The girl’s body has already been taken to a morgue. “She and a boy … they were just walking around,” the girl’s mother said. “She sought to run home…” she began, before bursting into tears. 

The family’s neighbor told reporters she had heard a loud bang and rushed to the street only to find “one girl’s leg lying near a garden plot and another one here, at the gate.” 

 

 

READ MORE:

https://www.rt.com/russia/558431-donetsk-child-killed-shelling-ukraine/

 

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