Tuesday 1st of July 2025

the secret race to nuclear fusion.....

The implications of Iran’s nuclear program are not what we think. Tehran renounced the atomic bomb in 1988, but is attempting, with Russia’s cooperation, to discover the secrets of nuclear fusion. If it succeeds, it would help the Southern states decolonize by freeing themselves from oil.
As for the implications of the bombing of certain Iranian nuclear sites by the United States, they may also not be what we think.
This affair is all the more opaque because it is not possible today to establish a clear distinction between research on civilian nuclear fusion and military fusion.

 

The Unspoken Aspects of Iran’s Nuclear Program    by Thierry Meyssan

 

Since the fall of Iraq, under the blows of the British and the United States, London and Washington have popularized the myth of Iran’s military nuclear program, following on from the myth of Iraq’s weapons of mass destruction. This myth has been taken up by Israeli "revisionist Zionists" (not to be confused with "Zionists" per se) and their leader, Benjamin Netanyahu. For twenty years, Westerners have been inundated with this propaganda and have come to believe it, although announcing for such a long period that Tehran will have "the" bomb "next year" makes no sense.—

However, even if Russia, China, and the United States all agree that there is currently no Iranian military program, everyone clearly sees that Iran is doing something at its nuclear power plants. But what?

In 2005, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad was elected President of the Islamic Republic, replacing Sayyed Mohammad Khatami. He is a scientist whose vision is to liberate colonized peoples. He therefore believes that by mastering the atom, he will enable all peoples to free themselves from Western oil transnationals.

Iran then develops training programs for nuclear scientists in numerous universities. It’s not about creating a small elite of a few hundred specialists, but about training battalions of engineers. There are now tens of thousands of them.

Iran intends to discover how to achieve nuclear fusion, whereas Westerners are content with fission. Fission is the splitting of an atom; while fusion is the joining of atoms, which releases immeasurable energy. Fission is used for our power plants, while, for the time being, fusion is only used for thermonuclear bombs. Mahmoud Ahmadinejad’s project is to use it to generate electricity and share it with developing countries.

This knowledge is revolutionary, in the Khomeinist sense of the term, that is, it allows for an end to the dependence of the Southern states and their economic development. It clashes head-on with the British vision of colonialism, according to which His Majesty had to divide and rule and prevent the development of the colonized. We recall, for example, that London forbade Indians from spinning the cotton they grew themselves so that it could be spun by its factories in Manchester. In response, Mahatma Gandhi set an example for his people and spun his own cotton, defying the British monarchy. Similarly, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad’s project challenges the power of the West and the Anglo-Saxon oil transnationals. It is perfectly understandable to be concerned about Iranian investment in nuclear power because these technologies are, by definition, dual-use, both civilian and military. It is clear that this is not the usual civilian use, and that the detailed discovery of fusion processes could also be used for military purposes. In any case, Iran is seeking an inexhaustible source of energy.

China and Russia have repeatedly stated that Iran has not had a military nuclear program since 1988. Unlike us, Russia knows what it is talking about: it is involved in Iran’s research. There are Russians in many Iranian nuclear facilities. It goes without saying that Moscow fears proliferation as much as we do. But, unlike us, not civilian nuclear power. Building on the work of Andrei Sakharov, Rosatom and the Russian Academy of Sciences are continuing research, particularly for the Tokamak project. China, South Korea, the United Kingdom and France have their own research on this subject.

It should also be remembered that Iran is a signatory to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT). It is for this reason that it is subject to inspections by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). Since 1988, the IAEA has never found any evidence suggesting that Iran still has a military nuclear program. However, the Agency has asked numerous questions to clarify certain aspects of its civilian program and has received no answers, which is perfectly understandable given the investment in Iranian-Russian fusion research. In practice, documents released by the Iranian press two days before the Israeli attack attest that the IAEA Director, the Argentinian Rafael Grossi, behaves like a spy in the service of Israel, to which he transmits all information from its inspectors; this is despite the fact that Israel is not a signatory to the NPT and therefore not a member of the IAEA.

Tehran submitted a proposal for the "Establishment of a Nuclear Weapon-Free Zone in the Middle East" to the United Nations Conference of the Parties to the NPT on May 4, 2010 [1]. This proposal was well received by all states in the region, with the exception of Israel. Indeed, Tel Aviv, which benefited from transfers of French technology from senior officials of the Fourth Republic, possesses the atomic bomb [2].

 

Finally, if Washington does not intervene alongside Tel Aviv and use its penetrating bomb to attempt to destroy the Fordo plant, the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) could resort to the "Samson option" [3], that is, the atomic destruction of Iran, even if they were to suffer a nuclear response. [4]

General Mohsen Rezaee, a senior officer in the Revolutionary Guard Corps and a member of Iran’s National Security Council, said in an interview on June 14 that "Pakistan has assured us that if Israel uses a nuclear bomb against Iran, it will also attack Israel with a nuclear bomb." However, Pakistani Defense Minister Khwaja Asif has not confirmed these statements. Without denying them, he simply stated: "Israel has targeted Iran, Yemen, and Palestine. If Muslim countries do not unite now, everyone will suffer the same fate. We support Iran and will defend it in all international forums to protect its interests."

 

Ultimately, the Trump administration was convinced, as White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt stated: "Let’s be very clear, Iran has everything it needs to achieve a nuclear weapon. All they need is a decision from the Supreme Leader to that effect, and it would take them about two weeks to complete production of that weapon."

Thus, it has been secretly preparing "Operation Midnight Hammer" since early June at the instigation of General Michael Kurilla, commander of US forces in the Middle East (CentCom). To do this, the general met with his Israeli counterparts on April 25 and gathered the most detailed information on his targets. On June 10, he presented to the House of Representatives his strategic analysis of the opportunities that the upheavals in the Middle East offered the United States. In the process, he revealed that he had presented President Trump with a broad range of options for exploiting them. [5].

On June 16, President Donald Trump hurriedly left the G7 summit in Kananaskis, Canada. On his plane back to Washington, he published an angry post about his allies: "Because he is seeking publicity, President Emmanuel Macron of France falsely stated that I left the G7 summit in Canada to return to Washington to work on a ’ceasefire’ between Israel and Iran. This is false." He doesn’t know why I’m on my way to Washington now, but it certainly has nothing to do with a ceasefire. Much bigger than that. Whether deliberately or not, Emmanuel is always wrong. Stay tuned." [6]

On the night of June 21-22, President Trump, in violation of the UN Charter, launched an attack on Iran’s main nuclear sites, but not on the Bushehr plant, due to the presence of Russian personnel. However, it appears that Washington had warned Tehran in advance that it was going to strike: a column of trucks was seen by satellite evacuating equipment from the Fordo base.

This surprise attack can be understood in two ways: either President Trump saved Israel from massive destruction by Fatah-1 hypersonic missiles, or, conversely, he saved Iran from an Israeli nuclear bombardment. The fact that the Pentagon did not attack the Fatah-1 launchers, which are less well protected than civilian nuclear power plants, leans toward this second interpretation.

In any case, by destroying Iran’s nuclear research program, President Trump deprived Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of the argument he had been using for twenty years to wage his "war on seven fronts."

We must remember that President Donald Trump, during his first term, ordered the assassination of ISIS Caliph Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi (October 27, 2019), followed by that of Iranian General Qassem Soleimani (January 3, 2020). In his mind, the goal was to strike the main Sunni military leader and the main Shiite military leader in order to bring their two groups into line. Which worked.

It is therefore possible that bad news awaits an Israeli leader in the coming months. The arrest of Benjamin Netanyahu by the Israeli justice system, for example.

 

 

Thierry Meyssan

 

Translation

Roger Lagassé

 

https://www.voltairenet.org/article222538.html

 

YOURDEMOCRACY.NET RECORDS HISTORY AS IT SHOULD BE — NOT AS THE WESTERN MEDIA WRONGLY REPORTS IT.

 

         Gus Leonisky

         POLITICAL CARTOONIST SINCE 1951.

a lawless state of imperial violence......

 

The Tactical Failure of Israel/U.S. Attacks on Iran Is Leading Both to a Strategic Disaster     BY​​​​​​​ Ajamu Baraka, BAR editor and columnist

 

The U.S. and Israel’s unchecked aggression has plunged the world into a lawless state of imperial violence—yet their latest attacks on Iran have only exposed the limits of colonial power. As Western leaders cling to delusions of dominance, Iran’s defiance reveals a shifting global order where imperial wars are becoming wars against imperialism itself.

“When U.S. and Western imperialists had to pretend that they were the ontologically civilized, humane, reasonable and innocent, it imposed some civilizing constraints on the range of their uncivilized actions. But in this era of lawless global fascism led by the U.S. and Israel those self-imposed constraints no longer exist.
U.S. and Israeli Gangsterism Has Created a Hobbesian International State of Nature 

A day after the Israeli settler-colonial apartheid state launched a sneak attack on Iran, an Iran that thought it was involved in a serious negotiation with Israel’s main benefactor, the United States, the Black Alliance for Peacedeclared that “the Middle East is on fire because Israeli and U.S. imperialism lit the match.” Twelve days later after a fierce response from Iran that saw major Israeli cities hit by Iranian missiles and an attack by the U.S. on Iranian nuclear facilities, Israel gladly accepted a ceasefire imposed on them by the Trump administration. What happened?

There was never any ambiguity regarding the U.S. strategic objective to effect “regime change” in Iran. And the mechanism for the execution of the policy was always clear - the deployment of the assets from Fort Israel, or the unsinkable U.S. aircraft carrier that is Israel, as some refer to it. 

War with Iran was always on the horizon and was passionately advocated for by Benjamin Netanyahu, Israel’s prime minister for more than two decades.

Yet, just twelve days into the long-awaited and inevitable war, the Israeli’s learned a painful lesson that they should have learned by observing the historical disasters suffered by the U.S. The U.S. mistakenly believed that the winning strategy for a quick military victory in the Global South was the application of overwhelming military power. Remember “shock and awe” in Iraq?

It is evident that when quick victories do not occur and conflicts turn into prolonged wars of attrition, such as ones that occurred in Iraq and Afghanistan, the limitations of military power become apparent, particularly when used in an aggressive war of choice against a population prepared to defend themselves.  

The unprovoked war launched by Israel and subsequently directly joined by the U.S. once again revealed the limitations of military power and the disastrous consequences of colonial arrogance. An arrogance that resulted in successive military defeats of the U.S. and has now stripped away the veneer of invincibility associated with the Israeli military.

After  Israel’s attack on Iran, Democratic Party senate leader Chuck Schumer did not condemn the illegality of the attack on a sovereign state, or question the constitutionality of the strike, he said instead, “The United States’ commitment to Israel’s security and defense must be ironclad as they prepare for Iran’s response.”

As other members of Congress issued statements it appears that the language reflected in those statements were copied and pasted directly from the American Israel Political Action Committee, AIPAC, repeating all the Israeli talking points with the most prominent being the imminent danger posed by Iran’s nuclear weapons project. A project that the intelligence agencies of the U.S. government declared non-existent just a few months ago.

However, with doubts about the success of the U.S. attack, the democrats are now playing another cynical game pretending to be concerned about the constitutionality of Trump’s use of military force.

It is a pathetic and transparently opportunistic move since just about every president since 1945 has found some creative way to commit the U.S. to military aggression with a specific declaration of war or authorization from Congress. And most democrats have consistently provided justifications for Israeli aggression against Iran, including reaffirming Israel’s supposed right to self-defense as a justification for its criminal attack on Iran.

And even with this game around the issue of the constitutionality of the attack, it is still clear that there is bipartisan support for intrusive measures to undermine the Iranian government under the pretext of concern for its nuclear project. The democrats just want to be consulted before they give consent to the violation of international law and the violation of the ultimate human right, which is the right to life, with the attack on Iran and the subsequent deaths of thousands of Iranians.

Another Strategic Defeat for the U.S. is Inevitable:

For the people of Iran and all of the peoples and nations involved in the ongoing struggle against Western imperialism, we all have one decisive weapon that will inevitably serve our interests at some point – the psychopathology of white supremacy. This affliction, representing a non-material conceptual frame has had a material impact on the lives, societies, cultures of millions of since the first significant contacts between the peoples later to become “Europeans” or white, and the non-European world.

This phenomenon is:

A racialized narcissistic cognitive disorder that centers so-called white people’s and European civilization and renders the afflicted with an inability to perceive objective reality in the same way as others. This affliction is not reducible to the race of so-called whites but can affect all those who have come in counter with the ideological and cultural mechanisms of the Pan-European colonial project.

This malady ensures that the disconnect with the objective world on the part of Europeans will inevitably result in European decision-makers constructing policies and a politics that will be counterproductive to their own interests in their dealings with non-European people.

An example of this is the inability of policymakers in the West to recognize the developments and power shifts in the world that make it impossible for Western nations to impose their will on other peoples and nations in ways that they could just a few years ago.

The proxy war between NATO and the Russian Federation engineered by the Biden administration and the U.S./Israeli attack on Iran are perfect examples of this phenomenon.

The Biden administration deluded itself into believing that after baiting the Russians into crossing the Ukrainian borders that it could impose economic sanctions, compel other nations in the world to support those sanctions, destroy the Russian currency and bring about “regime change.”  

With Iran, it was thought that a two-tiered military assault from Israel and the U.S. would see the government splinter with the emergence of new social forces ready to step in and govern and cooperate with Israel and the U.S.

In both cases, the disconnect from the realities of a new global multipolarity and relative decline of the U.S. and Europe meant that it was inevitable that both projects would result in strategic failure.  

Yet, because of this psychological affiliation, the strategic failure of Ukraine and the coming failure of Iran are beyond the scope of awareness. For Ursula von deer Leyen, the President of the European Commission, the lesson of Ukraine is European rearmament a clearer commitment to war leading Yanis Varoufakis to state that “The EU is now a fully-fledged War Project – a project that will either land us in permanent war, or it will bankrupt us further, or probably both.”

Iran will not be allowed to be defeated. As a member of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization, the Eurasian Economic Union and BRICS+ group, the legitimacy and viability of all of these projects would be called into question if Iran was allowed to be destroyed by the U.S. and Israel. How could these formations present themselves as alternative models of peaceful development and prosperity if they were unable to defend their members from aggressive and illegal attacks on their national sovereignty by the U.S. and Europe? How can there be greater economic cooperation, trade exchanges, and investments when security and the national defense of their members are not secured?

So, the Iranians are celebrating a tactical victory. The people of Iran and of the world understand even more clearly than before that it is only when you develop the means for collective self-defense that you can defend yourself from the threats and violence of rogue states like the U.S. and Israel.

The confusion and inconsistency of narratives emanating from the Trump white house reflects that Iran and Israel are not the only ones who do not know as Trump says, “what the F..k they are doing.” After the sneak attack by Israel on Iran the U.S. Secretary of State claimed the U.S. had nothing to do with it but very soon afterward the President undermined that statement. The Vice President said the target of the direct U.S. attack of a few days ago was only limited to Iran’s nuclear facilities and has nothing to do with “regime change,” Trump then tweeted that regime change might be a legitimate goal to “make Iran great again.”

Imperialism can be defeated. It is on the defensive everywhere, and that is its weakness .” For the peoples of this planet, it is time to throw off all hesitation in our resistance to Western imperialism. The victory of Iran, even if only temporary, confirms that we can indeed turn imperialist wars into wars against imperialism.

Ajamu Baraka is an editor and contributing columnist for the Black Agenda Report. He is the Director of the North-South Project for People(s)-Centered Human Rights and serves on the Executive Committee of the U.S. Peace Council and leadership body of the U.S.-based United National Anti-War Coalition (UNAC).

https://www.blackagendareport.com/tactical-failure-israelus-attacks-iran-leading-both-strategic-disaster

 

READ FROM TOP.

 

YOURDEMOCRACY.NET RECORDS HISTORY AS IT SHOULD BE — NOT AS THE WESTERN MEDIA WRONGLY REPORTS IT.

 

         Gus Leonisky

         POLITICAL CARTOONIST SINCE 1951.

 

the empire's nukes....

 

Jack Waterford

Bunker busters shook us all

 

Iran’s grievance, moral or legal, against Israel and the United States over the bombing of nuclear sites is not assisted by the fact that Israel itself is an outlaw with nuclear bombs produced outside the system.

Nor by the fact that Israel itself has not submitted itself to any international supervisory regime or subscribed to non-proliferation pacts. These may be bad things — worthy of condemnation — but they do not create a licence for counter-terror.

In Iran’s neighbourhood, Pakistan and India built nuclear weapons outside the system, and so, effectively, did China 60 years ago. No-one could stop them, before or after. Whether any of them, or Israel’s, Russia’s or America’s, make their nations safer is a matter for debate, if only because the actual use of weapons seems unthinkable. They haven’t been used for 80 years, despite very serious local conflicts.

Although there are international non-proliferation treaties, and inspection regimes, the world has little control over nuclear weapon development or use. The only external control is the raw power of very big nations, not exercised by any rulebook, or by agreement. Moral pressure has no effect at all.

That Israel’s holdings could be said to be illegal might one day provoke some bigger and stronger nation to attack it to disarm it. Good luck with that. The very existence of such weapons is a substantial disincentive. No nuclear nation has ever been involuntarily detached from its nuclear holdings, though Ukraine, Belarus and Kazakhstan, and separately South Africa, voluntarily gave up their holdings. The three former Soviet Union nations handed over their weapons to Russia, after inducements and security guarantees from Russia, the US and Britain; South Africa did so after dropping apartheid. Ukraine may now regret losing its arsenal.

According to Iran, of course, it was not building nuclear weapons at all but attempting to develop its own peaceful nuclear power systems. There was widespread doubt about the purity of its intentions, given the secrecy involved and the levels of radiation it was refining, and Israel has long insisted that it was attempting to build a weapon, possibly with help from Pakistan and China. Israel’s pre-emptive strike, with the claim that Iran’s development of a weapon was imminent, and America’s supporting strike, with bunker busters, were both illegal under international law, but neither nation acknowledges United Nations authority.

 

Australia’s lame and late, but ill-judged and unnecessary endorsement

After a bit of a pause, Australia intoned its standard grovelling phrases about Israel’s right to defend itself, and endorsed America’s follow-up attack on the basis that Iran should not be allowed to develop a nuclear weapon. It has yet to be established that Iran was actually doing this. Likewise, it has yet to be established that the airstrikes destroyed Iran’s capacity to continue on its merry way, wherever and whatever that is. There was clearly great damage done at the identified test sites, several deep underground, but some evidence that the nuclear fuel had been moved before the strikes.

Australian ministers said they had no advance notice of the airstrikes, but seemed to succumb to demands from the Murdoch newspapers, and their local subsidiary, the Liberal Party, that they hail the attack, and accept all Trumpian assertions about its alleged success. Indeed, the Murdoch press seemed to think that a certain lack of speed and enthusiasm had been noted in Washington, only confirming rumours that Labor was unsound on national security matters.

 

There was a time when Australia was pressing Iran to buy our uranium

I seem to remember a time about 50 years ago when Australia’s deputy prime minister, Dr Jim Cairns, visited Iran to try to encourage the then Shah about the development of a nuclear industry, using Australian uranium. This was before the Labor left realised that anything involving atoms was intrinsically immoral. Cairns said the nuclear non-proliferation treaty, which the Shah had signed, would prevent the use of our uranium other than for peaceful purposes. He pooh-poohed the idea that there was anything intrinsically unstable about the governing regime.

Our continuing enthusiasm for the not-very effective non-proliferation treaty aside, Australia had, or ought to have had, no dog in the fight this month. Continual media suggestions to the contrary, Israel is not one of our allies. Nor is Australia currently engaged with the US in any relevant Western alliance adventures in the Middle East, least of all unilateral Israeli attacks on its neighbours. Nor do we have any quarrel with Iran. We do have arrangements in relation to the Russia-Ukraine war, and disapprove, I suppose, of Iran’s assistance to Russia, but we have not made any great demonstration of this, given that Iran’s help is minor compared with China’s, India’s and North Korea’s.

Just why Australia felt it had to signal its support for the attacks was far from clear. Australia has been involved in a number of interchanges with the US in recent months, including, at international conferences, about our defence spending as a proportion of GDP, the future of NATO, and the future of Ukraine. Despite efforts by Australia’s own war-hawks to verbal us about the state of America’s defence relationship with Australia, there has been no occasion in which high-level visits, or American declarations, have affirmed the alliance, or even the AUKUS agreements.

Top Australian and US politicians have been dodging each other at international jamborees, perhaps realising that the future of the relationship, and submarine contracts, are in question, both here and in the United States. Over the past week, Donald Trump appears to have resolved some of his differences with NATO and European nations (at a conference attended by Australia’s defence minister, Richard Marles, (but Australia or Marles, or both) who was not important enough for any discussion with Trump. NATO nations have agreed in principle to increase defence expenditure by 150% within 10 years, but no binding commitments were made about timing or about planned achievements within this Trump term. Australia, meanwhile, has not committed itself to any increase, let alone one based on a formula about proportion of GDP. The NATO conference is far from some affirmation that the disputes are over, and that we are all friends again.

 

‘What’s in it for me?’ for angry and dissed allies and friends

At this stage it cannot be said that either the US or Australia knows for sure about the future of security relationships in Southeast Asia. Some may require renegotiation because of the doubts about America’s intentions and staying power caused by Trump. The “what’s in it for me?” approach might work both ways.

The demands and expectations of treaty relationships involving Japan, South Korea and Australia and America have not been settled. All are complicated, including by anger, ill-will and mistrust around Trump’s tariff declarations. Trump now seems to have come to some understanding with China. But he has not resolved his differences with old friends or with nations in the neighbourhood such as Vietnam, Thailand, Myanmar, Singapore, Indonesia and India.

In recent weeks, Trump seems to have dialled down his anti-China rhetoric. He may now see China as an adversary and competitor with which he can do business without talk of war or a trade war. China, after all, is, like Russia, a big boy, a member of a club of superpowers who sort out their problems informally. A bit like New York mafia families, with whom Trump is very familiar.

On the other hand, there are sticking points which may have to be resolved. The obvious one is if China plans to invade Taiwan. Less obviously, China is attempting to build economic and trading relationships with Europe, Japan and other nations in the region, including by trading pacts that may end up excluding the US, if only because of its new tariff wall and its developing isolationism. There are ample grounds for conflicts, not only between the US and China, but also between the US and virtually all of the nations of Southeast Asia and the subcontinent. It’s little wonder that everyone is tiptoeing cautiously.

It’s in this environment that Israel represents a continuing threat to the peace in our region, one which could end up compromising local efforts to broker new relationships. Some of the ASEAN nations — Indonesia and Malaysia in particular — are strongly Muslim and have been horrified by the slaughter in Gaza, and by Israel’s arrogance in dealing with its neighbours. Attacks on Iran have the potential for trouble with Pakistan and China, and some of the -stans. Iran may lack close friends and allies, but its neighbours do not appreciate disturbances of the peace, or the unsettling of the job security of local dictators.

Many of our Asian neighbours see Australia’s history of almost automatic support for Israel as an example of our seeing ourselves as a “deputy sheriff” serving US interests, rather than our own. In recent times, Australia has turned against Israel on some issues, but hardly in such a way as to counter the idea that Australia supports Western, not Asian, interests in the Middle East.

It is particularly necessary to tread carefully because there are some clear signs that countries in our region are shifting, if slowly but definitely, towards China. A good many sit on the fence, hoping, in John Howard’s phrase, that they do not have to choose between their history and their geography. Some may not be aware of their shifting but are doing more to engage with and understand China than they are with a nation that has sharply increased tariffs, is seeking compensation for security protection, and which talks loudly about America First.

“By analysing the positions of 10 Southeast Asian countries on a welter of issues relating to China and the US, one thing becomes evident: over the past 30 years, many of these countries have gradually but discernibly shifted away from the US and towards China,” the American magazine Foreign Policy says this week.

“Some shifts are more drastic and significant than others. A few countries have indeed managed to hedge, to straddle the rift… The overall direction of travel, however, is clear.

“Many countries …would prefer not to choose at all: they want to have their cake and eat it. But both China and the US are growing frustrated with this hedging. Beijing wants to wield more than just economic influence in the region."

If the US begins military and commercial disengagement, ASEAN countries will have to increase trade with each other, with Australia, Japan and South Korea. “But that imperative will be counterbalanced and perhaps even overwhelmed by the temptation to gravitate toward China.”

None of this necessarily implies that any of these nations, including Australia, will fall into China’s economic thrall, or political domination. Some nations, including Japan, South Korea and Australia, and possibly India if it can strike a modus vivendi with China, may benefit from new trade relationships with Europe, Canada, Mexico, South America and Africa.

Loose security understandings may help keep the peace. China might be a big bully but attempts to coerce particular nations cannot but affect neighbours, who may develop understandings about common actions to resist.

 

Some countries, even possibly Australia, will be reconsidering nuclear weapons

The looser structures may also prompt others to consider the value of developing their own nuclear weapons, if only as a form of ultimate deterrence. Japan, South Korea, Singapore and Burma are quite capable of developing nuclear weapons. It wouldn’t be long before some of the Chinese-influence -stans joined in. Vietnam and Malaysia would want to join the stampede in due course.

At some stage, Australia, which certainly has the resources and the capacity, would consider what all of the proliferation meant to their own security environment and feel tempted as well. Even if Australia was still tightly bound to the US — which is as much a matter of choice for the US as it is for Australia — it is unlikely that existing security understandings would embrace battlefield deployment or authorise use against invaders. They’d be next to useless, of course. Except in providing an extra layer among one’s enemies of uncertainty about a nation’s thresholds for deployment and thus some deterrence.

There is no going back. It would be impossible to return to a system of relationships just as they were before Donald Trump began disturbing the peace in 2017. If America wants to recreate the security system of the Western alliance, one might think that it would be more active, and perhaps a little less dedicated to the idea that everyone else in the system has been a bludger, coasting on American effort. And perhaps a little more self-aware of how its military self-indulgences, in Iran and around Israel, are shaking confidence in its judgment and staying power. It’s America, not its allies, which needs to win its friends back.

 

Republished from The Canberra Times, June 2025

https://johnmenadue.com/post/2025/07/bunker-busters-shook-us-all/

 

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YOURDEMOCRACY.NET RECORDS HISTORY AS IT SHOULD BE — NOT AS THE WESTERN MEDIA WRONGLY REPORTS IT.

 

         Gus Leonisky

         POLITICAL CARTOONIST SINCE 1951.

 

If Iran wanted a nuke, it would have bought one a long time ago... or it would have made one in 2003... But most things considered, READ FROM TOP.... and pay attention....