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being rude to the chinese.....

The Foreign minister Penny Wong should recall Kevin Rudd as Australia’s ambassador to Washington.

Australia badly needs an ambassador who performs the traditional diplomatic role of trying to prevent a war: in this case, one involving Australia, China and the US. Instead, Rudd is promoting a new book in the US, “On Xi Jinping: How Xi’s Marxist Nationalism Is Shaping China and the World”. He has also been performing his many other ambassadorial roles.

 

Recall Rudd    By Brian Toohey

 

In his book he argues that the Chinese President’s concept of “struggle” is one that need not always be peaceful. Writing in Pearls and Irritations recently the highly regarded Chinese scholar Jocelyn Chey notes that Rudd has well established anti-China views.

Although Xi has been China’s paramount leader since 2012, he can’t be understood solely through an analysis of his presumed ideology, as Rudd does. Chey says Wang Huning is the most influential advisor to Xi. He’s been involved in the development of Communist Party ideology since the 1980s, but is not referenced in Rudd’s book.

Regardless of ideology, Xi has not resorted to military force, unlike one of his more highly praised predecessors Deng Xiaoping who approved the Tiananmen Square massacre in 1989. In 1979, Deng ordered a brief but brutal military incursion into Vietnam to teach it a lesson for removing the genocidal Pol Pot as leader of Cambodia.

In contrast to 1989, under Xi protesters in Hong Kong threw Molotov cocktails at police without being arrested immediately, as would have happened in Australia. Xi did not call in the military and the situation was resolved without major blood-shed.

While Rudd wants to focus on the alleged China, “threat”, a lot more attention needs to be given to how the newly elected Indonesian president Prabowo Subianto will govern. As Duncan Graham noted in P&I, “Even Deputy PM Richard Marles must now acknowledge that the nation next door he praises for its moderation and democracy is now a military dictatorship and a serious threat”. It’s not clear who advised Marles to say this – perhaps was it the chief intelligence advisor to the government, Andrew Shearer. We don’t know.

Graham said that after his inauguration Prabowo ordered his ministers and senior public servants to present themselves in US-style camouflage uniforms at the army’s training camp at Magelang in Central Java. They had to be up by 4 am to start exercises. Prabowo is on the record as saying democracy is ‘very, very tiring’ and ‘very, very messy and costly”.

Prabowo doesn’t necessarily pose a threat to Australia. But it is unlikely he will readily join Australia in backing the US to treat China as the enemy. After all, Indonesia enjoys large scale Chinese investment that helps boost its economy.

As well as a diplomat who can focus on preventing a war, Australian needs another one in Washington to make a forceful case to the US that we cannot support its economic policies that are harmful to Australia and the world. Meanwhile, the Albanese government announced it is considering a US proposal to ban Chinese software in cars which allegedly can impact on privacy and national security. However, tests made by Choice magazine show other car brands are worse, in some cases much worse. Toyota is one of the main culprits.

The US blocks China from having access to high-tech equipment, even though that could boost economies around the world. Worse, the Biden administration whacked a 100% tariffs on electric cars from China. All this will do is force American consumers to pay more for electric cars when their home industry is not becoming more competitive in this area. Faced with these challenges from the American side, our foreign policy should no longer be dominated by the simple assumption that China presents a military threat to Australia.

From the diplomatic perspective, Rudd has a history of playing the political “tough guy”. When he was Prime Minister in 2009 he was asked by US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton over lunch in Washington about the challenges posed by China’s economic rise such as, “How do you deal toughly with your banker?” WikiLeaks later released a US diplomatic cable showing that in response Rudd described himself as “a brutal realist on China.” Brutal? Yes. Realist? No. He said supported a policy of integrating China into the international community – “all while preparing to deploy force if everything goes wrong.” A realist wouldn’t glibly canvass going to war with China, as Rudd is shown to do. A war with China could leave millions dead, wreck the world economy and offer no prospect of a military victory in any meaningful sense. A realist would not have raised the option of resorting to force against a country that is Australia’s largest trading partner and America’s biggest financier. Moreover, the US is by far away the most powerful military nation on earth. It does not need gratuitous advice about military preparedness from Rudd or anyone else. Instead, it could benefit from hearing from a foreign leader who counsels restraint.

Unfortunately, there are signs Rudd believes he has a special responsibility to warn the world about the alleged threat China poses. Never mind that no one knows what will happen to China in future. It might become a benign democracy; it may disintegrate economically and politically; it could remain a relatively stable authoritarian country whose trade purchases underpin Australia’s economic strength.

The least likely outcome is that it will use force to try to dominate the world, not least because it has long rejected doing so in its policy making forums. Its present level of military spending, about 1.7 per cent of GDP compared to almost 3 per cent for the US, suggests Chinese domination is not an immediate prospect. But Rudd’s imagined ability to see inside the minds of China’s leaders after 2030 now informs the unstated basis of Australia’s defence policy.

In 2008, Rudd gave a non-attributable briefing for senior News Ltd journalists in Sydney, during which he said about the Chinese leadership, “I don’t trust the bastards.” Never mind that he seemed to trust a succession of American leaders who lied about the appalling wars they engaged in. He said Australia’s 2009 Defence White paper would unveil a hugely expensive military build-up to counter the prospect of future Chinese aggression. When the White paper was released, it said it did not see any serious conflict arising with China until after 2030. Even then, it gave no reason why this would occur, other than to rely on vague references to the “strategic risk” posed by China’s growing economic success.

After being deposed as Prime Minister, Rudd became the foreign affairs minister who attended the 2010 Australia-US ministerial talks along with defence minister Stephen Smith, and Hillary Clinton and the US defence secretary Robert Gates secretary. Outside the talks, Rudd once again told journalists that China lacks a transparent defence policy – a call that sits oddly with the Australian defence department’s reluctance to provide journalists with relatively mundane details about its own activities.

In this context, two well regarded defence analysts, Mark Thompson and Andrew Davies. had just argued that China is completely transparent about its goal of achieving “the capacity to deny its air and maritime approaches to potential adversaries”. They said this was as fundamental to China’s defence as it is to ours.

A leading strategist Hugh White argued “We should not encourage China’s tenancy to bully, but should also avoid a dangerous escalation of tensions with our biggest trading partner. White subsequently argued there was no reason China should not be allowed to have a bigger leadership role in Asia. White was trying to avoid the ultimate policy failure of a full scale war with China.

An enduring victory against China in that full scale war would require the military occupation of a country with 1.3 billion people who show every sign of fierce resistance. In the end, US and Australian troops would march into the most vicious human mining machine ever deployed.

 

https://johnmenadue.com/recall-rudd/

 

 

 

YOURDEMOCRACY.NET RECORDS HISTORY AS IT SHOULD BE — NOT AS THE WESTERN MEDIA WRONGLY REPORTS IT.

 

“It’s hard to do cartoons without dogs…”

         Gus Leonisky

 

perpetually at war....

 

The United States empire is almost always at war    By John Menadue

 

The US empire is addicted to a belief in its exceptionalism, grounded in aggression both at home and abroad, and finding it hard to admit mistakes.

This article was first published on December 30, 2021 and now slightly updated.

Apart from brief isolationist periods, the US has been almost perpetually at war. The greatest military risk we run is acting as a proxy for the US in its dispute with China. China is not a threat to Australia but the US is as we have locked ourselves into the US war machine. The Deputy Secretary of the US State Department boasts that we are locked in for the next 40 years.

The record is clear. Time and time again we have allowed ourselves to be drawn into the imperial wars of  the UK and then the US. We have forfeited our strategic autonomy.

Over two centuries, the US has subverted and overthrown numerous governments. It has a military and business complex that depends on war for influence and enrichment. It funds our War Memorial and the Australian Strategic Policy Institute and many other fronts for US military and business interests. 

The US assumes a moral superiority it denies to others. 

Many of our political, bureaucratic, business and media elites have been on an American drip feed for so long they find it hard to think of the world without American global hegemony. They have been groomed by Washington for decades.

We had a similar and dependant view of the UK in the past. That ended in tears in Singapore. It will be much worse for us now that so much of our country has been colonised by the US military.

In this blog (Is war in the American DNA?), I have drawn attention repeatedly to the risks we run in being “joined at the hip” to a country that is almost always at war. The facts are clear. The US has never had a decade without war. Since its founding in 1776, the US has been at war 93 per cent of the time. These wars have extended from its own hemisphere to the Pacific, to Europe and most recently to the Middle East. The US has launched 201 out of 248 armed conflicts since the end of World War II. In recent decades most of these wars have been unsuccessful. The US maintains 800 military bases or sites around the world, including in Australia. The US has in our region a massive deployment of hardware and troops in Japan, the Republic of Korea and Guam. China has one off shore naval base in Djibouti in the Horn of Africa to combat pirates.

Just think of the US frenzy if China had a string of bases in the Caribbean or its ships patrolled the Florida Keys.

The US has been meddling extensively in other countries’ affairs and elections for a century. It tried to change other countries’ governments 72 times during the Cold War. Many foreign leaders were assassinated. In the piece reproduced in this blog (The fatal expense of US Imperialism), Professor Jeffrey Sachs said:

“The scale of US military operations is remarkable … The US has a long history of using covert and overt means to overthrow governments deemed to be unfriendly to the US … Historian John Coatsworth counts 41 cases of successful US-led regime change for an average of one government overthrow by the US every 28 months for centuries.”

The overthrow or interference in foreign governments is diverse, including Honduras, Guatemala, Iran, Haiti, Congo, Indonesia, Japan, Vietnam, Chile, Iraq, Afghanistan and most recently, Syria. Assassination of opponents who disagree is normalised both by the US and rogue states like Israel.

And this interference continued with the undermining of the pro-Russian government in Ukraine by the US-backed Maidan coup in 2014. Gorbachev and Reagan agreed that in allowing the reunification of Germany, NATO would not extend eastwards. But with US encouragement, NATO has now provocatively extended right up to the borders of Russia. Not surprisingly, Russia is resisting.

The US encouraged and helped finance the “democratic” insurrection in Hong Kong. It almost succeeded.

Despite all the evidence of wars and meddling, the American Imperium continues without serious check or query in America or Australia. That imperialism is best reflected in the Monroe Doctrine, that America can interfere anywhere  around the world at any time. And allies are expected to follow.

I suggest several reasons why this record has not been challenged.

The first is what is often described as America’s  ‘exceptionalism’, its ‘manifest destiny’. Numerous elitist Americans believe they are the chosen people. They see themselves as more virtuous and their system of government better than others.

The ignorance and parochialism of ordinary America and its politicians of other countries is legendary but possibly just as important is their resistance to any relief of ignorance. That may not seem unusual — but it is dangerous for a country with overwhelming military power employed around the globe.

Anyone who has been stuck with a travel group of  parochial Texans will know what I mean!!

The second reason why the American Imperium continues largely unchecked is the power of what president Dwight Eisenhower once called the “military and industrial complex” in the US. In 2021 I would add “politicians” who depend heavily on funding from powerful arms manufacturers and military and civilian personnel in more than 4,000 military facilities. Congress dares not cut the military budget. As James Curran in the AFR this week put it,’It is going to take a determined President to take on the the US military-industrial complex, so deeply imbedded as it is in so many Congressional districts across the US’.

The Australian intelligence community and many universities and think tanks also have a vested interest in the American Imperium.

This complex co-opts institutions and individuals around the globe. It has enormous influence. No US president, nor for that matter any Australian prime minister, would likely challenge it.

Australia has locked itself into this complex. Our military and defence leaders are heavily dependent on the US Departments of Defense and State, the CIA and the FBI for advice. We act as their branch offices.

But it goes beyond advice. We willingly respond and join the US in disasters like Iraq and the Middle East. While the UN General Assembly votes with large majorities on nuclear proliferation and most recently on Gaza, we remain locked into the position of the US and a few of its mendicants.

Our autonomy and independence are also at great risk because our defence/security elites in Canberra have as their holy grail the concept of “interoperability” with the US. This is mirrored in US official and think-tank commentary on the role they see for us in our region. So powerful is the US influence and our willing cooperation that our foreign policies have been largely emasculated and sidelined by the Defence and security views of both the US and their media acolytes in Australia. Our security agencies like our Office of National Intelligence is highly dependent on CIA input. It has in effect been colonised by US intelligence agencies. Our Prime Minister listens more to Andrew Shearer the head of ONI than Penny Wong, his Foreign Minister,

The concept of interoperability does not only mean equipment. It also means personnel, with increasingly large numbers of Australian military personnel embedded in the US military and defence establishments, especially in the Pacific Command in Hawaii.

The US military and industrial complex and its associates have a vested interest in America being at war and our defence establishment, Department of Defence, ADF, Australian Strategic Policy Institute and others are locked-in American loyalists.

The third reason for the continuing dominance of the American Imperium is the way the US expects others to abide by a “rules-based international order” that was largely determined at Bretton Woods after World War II and embedded in various UN agencies. That ‘order’ reflects the power and views of the dominant countries in the 1940s. It does not recognise the legitimate interests of such newly emerging countries as China, which now insist on playing a part in an international rules-based order.

The US only follows an international rules-based order when it suits its own interests. Just consider the wholesale rejection of International rules over Gaza by the US and Israel.  What hypocrisy! And Richard Marles chants a Rule Based International Order at every opportunity. He is unable to understand that it is US rules that he parrots on about. He is a very slow learner.

The US cherry picks the rules that best suite it at the time. It is wrecking the WTO. It pushes for a rules-based system in the South China Sea while refusing to endorse UNCLOS (Law of the Sea) or accept ICJ decisions. The invasion of Iraq was a classic case of breaking the rules. It was illegal. The resultant death and destruction in Iraq met the criteria for war crimes. But the culprits have got off scot-free. Only Tony Blair has suffered reputational damage.

It is a myth that democracies like America will behave internationally at a higher level of morality. Countries act in their own interests as they perceive them. We need to discount the noble ideas espoused by Americans on how they run their own country on the domestic front and look instead at how they treat other countries.

The US claims about how well they run their own country are challenged on so many fronts. Alongside great wealth and privilege, over 40 million US citizens live in poverty, they have a massive prison population with its indelible racist connotations, guns are ubiquitous and they refuse to address the issue. Violence is as American as cherry pie. It is embedded in US behaviour both at home and abroad. Donald Trump incited an attack on the Capitol.

The founding documents of the US inspire Americans and many people throughout the world. “The land of the free and the home of the brave” still has a clarion call. Unfortunately, those core values have often been denied to others. When the Philippines sought US support it was invaded instead. Ho Chi Minh wanted US support for independence but Vietnam was invaded.

Like many democracies, including our own, money, media and vested interests are corrupting public life. ‘Democracy’ in the US has been replaced by ‘Donocracy’, with practically no restrictions on funding of elections and political lobbying for decades. House of Representatives electorates are gerrymandered and poor and minority group voters  excluded from the rolls. The powerful Jewish lobby, supported by fundamentalist Christians, has run US policy off the rails on Israel and the Middle East. The powerful private health insurance industry has mired the US in the most expensive and inefficient health services in the world.

The US Congress is crippled and the Supreme Court is stacked

Many democracies are in trouble. US democracy is in more trouble than most. There is a pervasive sickness

A major voice in articulating American extremism and the American Imperium is Fox News and Rupert Murdoch who exert their influence not just in America but also in the UK and Australia. Fox News supported the invasion of Iraq and is mindless of the terrible consequences. Rupert Murdoch applauded the invasion of Iraq because it would reduce oil prices. Fox and News Corp are leading sceptics on climate change which threatens our planet.

But it is not just the destructive role of News Corp in the US, UK and Australia. Our media, including the ABC are so derivative. It is so pervasive and extensive, we don’t recognise it for its very nature. We really do have a ‘white man’s media’. We see it most obviously today in the way legacy media spew out an endless daily conveyor belt of anti-China stories. Without exception Australian media cheer on US military imperialism. Incessant Washington propaganda is accepted without scrutiny.

We have become ‘Americanised’ in so many ways and in ways that are very dangerous for us.

Despite continual criminal and often unsuccessful wars, assassinations, the overthrow or subversion of foreign governments and declining US economic influence, US hegemony and domination of Australian thinking continues. Despite all the evidence, why do we continue in denial?

One reason is that as a small, isolated and predominantly white community in Asia we have historically sought an outside protector, first the UK and when that failed, the US. The colonial mind set is still with us.

We are often told that we have shared values and common institutions first with the UK and now with the US. But countries will always act first in their own interests as Australian farmers found out as the US grabbed our markets in China. Hardly protecting our back!

Another reason why we are in denial about the American Imperium, is, as I have described, the saturation of our media with US news, views and entertainment. We do not have an independent media. Whatever the US media says about China or defence will inevitably gets a good run in our derivative media. Our legacy media are staging posts for Washington propaganda.

A further reason for the continuing US hegemony in Australian attitudes is the seduction of Australian opinion leaders over decades who have benefitted from American largesse and support – in the media, politics, bureaucracy, business, trade unions, universities and think-tanks. Thousands of influential Australians have been co-opted and groomed by US money and support in travel, ‘dialogues’, study centres and think tanks. They are on the Washington drip feed.

Senior personnel in the US Studies Centre at the University of Sydney authored our Defence Strategic Review.  Can anything be more brazen than that! US Admirals were secretly positioned in our Defence Department. We only learned of it in US media. And it goes on and on.

China is a minor player along side the US in influence. Israel also has enormous influence in media and politics.

In so far as China is a threat it would be much less so if we were not so subservient to the US. The great risk of war with China is if we continue to act as a proxy for the US. Pine Gap would be the first Chinese target. Then there would be Darwin, Tindal and Perth.

In the past we could tag along at US bidding without much strategic risk to ourselves. That is no longer the case. Acting as a proxy for continual US taunting of China we are at risk. China is no direct threat to Australia. But as a proxy for the US, the most violent and aggressive country in history, we are putting ourselves at grave risk.

We are a nation in denial that we are ‘joined at the hip’ to a dangerous ,erratic and risky ally. Apart from brief isolationist periods, the US has been almost perpetually at war.

 

https://johnmenadue.com/the-united-states-empire-is-almost-always-at-war-2/

 

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YOURDEMOCRACY.NET RECORDS HISTORY AS IT SHOULD BE — NOT AS THE WESTERN MEDIA WRONGLY REPORTS IT.

 

“It’s hard to do cartoons without eternity…”

         Gus Leonisky