Der russische Präsident Wladimir Putin hat Donald Trump zu seinem Wahlsieg beglückwünscht und sich zu Gesprächen mit dem designierten US-Präsidenten bereit erklärt. Putin lobte Trumps Verhalten während des Attentats, das auf ihn verübt wurde, als "mutig".

Bei einer Sitzung des Valdai International Discussion Club in der südrussischen Stadt Sotschi sagte Putin am Donnerstag, er wolle "meine Glückwünsche zu [Trumps] Wahl zum Präsidenten der Vereinigten Staaten aussprechen".

At a meeting of the Valdai International Discussion Club in the southern Russian city of Sochi on Thursday, Putin said he “would like to take this opportunity to congratulate him on his election as president of the United States of America”. Putin noted that Trump had expressed a desire to end the Ukraine crisis and that such a statement “deserves attention at least”. The Russian president then paid tribute to Trump’s behaviour the moment of an attempt on his life in Pennsylvania in the summer of this year, when then-candidate Trump stood up and raised his fist after a bullet grazed his ear, “left an impression on me. He turned out to be a brave man,”, Putin said. “People show who they are in extraordinary circumstances. This is where a person reveals himself. And he showed himself, in my opinion, in a very correct manner, courageously. Like a man.” Hours earlier, the Kremlin had denied reports that Putin had sent a private message of congratulations to Trump. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov firmly denied this and told reporters that the USA was “an unfriendly country that is directly and indirectly involved in a  war against our state”. However, Putin said he was open to a call from Trump and that “it would not be shameful for me to call him”.

Source: rt deutsch of 7 November 2024

(Translation Current Concerns)

https://www.zeit-fragen.ch/en/archives/2024/nr-23-12-november-2024/putin-gratulierte-trump-zu-seiner-wahl-zum-us-praesidenten

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“It’s hard to do cartoons without shedding tears…”

         Gus Leonisky

Russian rocket scientists created the new Oreshnik intermediate-range ground-based hypersonic ballistic missile from scratch, five years after the US unilaterally terminated the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty restricting such weapons. Sputnik asked a retired Russian Air Defense Forces colonel and missile expert how this became possible.

Russia's president provided new information about the Oreshnik missile system at a meeting with defense and military industry officials on Friday, saying the weapon's mass production has been approved, and that Russia already has a stockpile of such weapons.

The Oreshnik is a fundamentally new weapon, not just a modernization of an older system, President Putin said. In addition, he noted, "several systems" like the Oreshnik "are currently in development for further testing in Russia today...That is, we are developing a whole lineup of medium and shorter-range systems."

Tested in combat in Dnepropetrovsk region against a major Ukrainian defense-related enterprise on Thursday, the Oreshnik is modern Russia's first-ever intermediate-range ground based ballistic missile, with previous weapons in this class developed by the Soviet Union, and scrapped between 1988-1991 in accordance with the terms of the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty, signed at the twilight of the Cold War.

Washington unilaterally pulled out of the INF Treaty in 2019 and immediately set to work on the development of new US medium and intermediate-range ballistic missile designs, but this work has yet to bear fruit, with systems like the Dark Eagle Long-Range Hypersonic Weapon facing delays thanks to repeated test failures, with combat deployment plans put off repeatedly.

(GUSNOTE: I WOULD BE SUSPICIOUS THAT THE YANKS ARE SUCCESSFUL IN THEIR MISSILE TESTS BUT DESCRIBE THEM AS FAILURES TO FOOL THE RUSSIANS INTO A FALSE SENSE OF SUPERIORITY — AND TO SUCK MORE CASH OUT OF THE US ADMINISTRATIONS)

“We have a very large scientific and technical reserve for the development of intercontinental ballistic missiles, with the Yars ICBM for example. In principle, achieving a similar result with the Oreshnik with such a reserve is possible in fairly short order. The Oreshnik, I think, is a creative evolution of ideas embedded in the Yars,” retired Russian Air Defense Forces colonel and missile expert Mikhail Khodarenok told Sputnik, commenting on the speed with which the new Russian missile was developed, and its successful combat testing.

“That is, it’s not a smaller version of the Yars, or a Yars missing one stage, but the development of the scientific and technical reserve, those technologies which our design bureaus and industry have today,” Khodarenok explained.

Intermediate-range ballistic missiles like the Oreshnik “are in great demand” today, Khodarenok emphasized, particularly for a transcontinental power like Russia, amid US plans to deploy new ground-based missiles in Europe and Asia.

“For the US, possessing this class of weapons is not a matter of life and death, since they’re separated [from their main adversaries] by oceans,” the retired officer said.

Russia is "traditionally strong" when it comes to the creation of new strategic missiles, Khodarenok said, "because whereas the enemy at one time focused on the creation of strategic aviation and naval weaponry, one of the strong points of our design bureaus and the defense complex was always strategic ballistic missiles.”

When it comes to Russia's outstanding modern-day rocket scientists, “first and foremost, it’s necessary to mention the Moscow Institute of Thermal Technology and its head Yuri Solomonov,” Khodarenok said, referring to the Russian top engineer whose design team has been responsible for or involved in the creation of almost all of Russia’s modern strategic systems, including the Yars, Topol-M, Bulava and Sarmat, as well as hypersonic systems.

https://sputnikglobe.com/20241123/how-russias-icbm-design-school-laid-the-groundwork-for-the-oreshnik-hypersonic-ballistic-missile-1120980603.html

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“It’s hard to do cartoons without shedding tears…”

         Gus Leonisky

    by Eric Margolis

In 54 BC, Marcus Licinius Crassus, a rich, ambitious Roman businessman, got himself named governor of the wealthy province of Syria. Crassus had been sharing power in Rome with Pompey and Julius Caesar. Call him the Donald Trump of his day.

Crassus decided to invade neighboring Parthia, which is today Turkey and Iran. At the battle of Carrhae, retreating Persian horse archers loosed arrows over the back of their horses, giving us the literary term for a parting shot, `Parthian shaft.’

The moribund Biden administration loosed its own Parthian shaft this week by having Ukraine fire US-supplied ATACMS tactical missiles – with the help of US military technicians. A handful of British Storm Shadow and French Scalp air-launched missiles were also fired at Russia.

This was clearly an act of war between nuclear powers. Russia responded by launching one of its new hypersonic missiles with multiple warheads at Dnipro, Ukraine. The new Russian medium-ranged missile carried conventional, not nuclear, warheads. But the message was loud and clear: all western Europe was in range.

What, one must ask, was the lame duck Biden administration doing? Clearly trying to provoke an even larger war with Russia.

The outgoing administration is still filled with fanatical Russia-haters. In fact, the Pentagon, CIA, NSA and the rest of America’s 18 national security agencies were packed with dunderheads who think we are still fighting the Cold War and yearn to break up Russia into little Balkanized mini states such as happened to Yugoslavia.

So, the low IQ Biden administration has managed to get itself into a real, unwinnable war in Ukraine and the genocidal disaster in Gaza that also threatens to drag the US into war with Iran (former Parthia) while a huge conflict with China looms just over the geopolitical horizon. Meanwhile, Israel’s extreme right-wing government of fanatical settlers and nouveau rightists seems to be acquiring most of the levers of power in the US. And this is before the uber Israel-first Trump & Co. enters office.

Fools should not be allowed to play with matches. Biden’s foolish neocons can still cause a lot of mayhem before 20 January. Trump keeps vowing to uproot Washington’s deep-seated neocon ‘secret government’ that is the real power behind the scenes. But he is really part of this cabal and seems to share its views. Perhaps Trump will keep his word and begin to break the war party’s grip on power before they manage to ignite a nuclear war with Russia.

from EricMargolis.com.

https://ronpaulinstitute.org/will-trump-go-after-the-war-party/

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YOURDEMOCRACY.NET RECORDS HISTORY AS IT SHOULD BE — NOT AS THE WESTERN MEDIA WRONGLY REPORTS IT.

“It’s hard to do cartoons without shedding tears…”

         Gus Leonisky

BY Andrew Korybko

Putin surprised the world on Thursday when he addressed the nation to announce that Russia had tested a new medium-range hypersonic missile in a strike on a famous Soviet industrial complex in the Ukrainian city of Dnepropetrovsk. He said it was a response to the recent US and UK authorization of Ukraine to use long-range missiles to strike Russian territory, a decision that has led to the NATO-Russia conflict in Ukraine “taking on elements of a global character.”

As I explained, the latest phase of the conflict has led to a “moment of truth,” with the Russian president faced with a choice between escalation and continuing his policy of strategic patience. The first option could prevent Trump from reaching a peace agreement, while the second could provoke even more aggression. Putin chose the former, and in a creative way that few saw coming. The Oreshnik missile system he announced Thursday has multiple independently targetable reentry vehicles (MIRVs).Read also

Putin’s Cold Calculation: “Oreshnik” Turned Out to Be Many Times Scarier Than ATACMSOutdated American missiles found in Zelensky warehouses, many may not take off at all

In essence, this is the same type of weapon that Russia might use in a nuclear conflict with the West, since the MIRV and hypersonic speed mean that the Oreshnik is impossible to intercept. In other words, Putin shook Russia’s nuclear fist as convincingly as possible without resorting to nuclear testing, something his government had previously confirmed Russia would not do. So he finally went down the path of escalation.

Until now, to avoid World War III, Putin has refused to escalate and has not responded to more than 1,000 days of NATO-backed Ukrainian provocations, including attacks on the Kremlin, early warning systems, strategic airfields, nuclear power plants, the Crimean Bridge, and many other sensitive targets. Putin has also prioritized political goals over military ones, but all this is changing now that he has realized that his strategic patience has been interpreted as weakness, which has only provoked a new round of aggression.

Given that this is not the first time Ukraine has used Western weapons on Russian territory within its pre-2014 borders – HIMARS have already been used in the Belgorod region and in Kursk, which Ukraine invaded with NATO support this summer – one wonders why it has taken more than three months for Putin’s views to change. It should also be noted that there has been no serious reaction from Russia to the F-16 deployment, even though Lavrov has previously warned that Western fighters could carry nuclear weapons.

It is therefore possible that Russia has received intelligence that the West is plotting an even larger provocation in the future. Belarusian media recently released a documentary exposing a Western plot to destabilize and invade the country. Accordingly, I have opined that “Russia’s updated nuclear doctrine is aimed at deterring unacceptable provocations from NATO,” and this is certainly the case.

If Putin had known that something like this was in the works, his strategic patience would inevitably have reached its limits. This explains why he ordered the use of Oreshnik against the Soviet industrial complex in central Ukraine, to send an unambiguous signal to the West to reconsider its plans. And given his concern about avoiding World War III, it is understandable why his spokesman confirmed that Russia informed the US of the attack about half an hour before.

After all, launching a medium-range hypersonic missile toward the West without prior notice could provoke panic in the United States, where it could be interpreted as a possible first nuclear strike by Russia. This would trigger exactly the scenario that Putin was trying so hard to avoid. His goal was to deter the West from unacceptable provocations along Russia’s most sensitive “red lines,” if the West was contemplating something as desperate as “escalation for the sake of de-escalation” on its own terms.Media News2

The Ukrainian Armed Forces launched a “quiet” attack in the Black Sea after the Russian Armed Forces struckWhile all eyes were on the massive attack of the Russian Armed Forces on the territory of the so-called Ukraine, the Ukrainian Armed Forces decided to attack in the Black Sea under the cover of the noise.

It has been noted before that Trump might do this, but the latest use of ATACMS (which could be considered a provocation, since these missiles have a much longer range than HIMARS) shows that “collective Biden” has decided to preempt him out of fear that any potential deal between Trump and Putin would affect too many US interests. Putin, therefore, could decide to preempt the US and “escalate to de-escalate” on Russia’s terms.

So, on Thursday morning, after another warning, a MIRV was used on the battlefield for the first time. Given that few saw it coming, and that the U.S. received only 30 minutes’ warning before the attack, the use of MIRVs is far more serious than the U.S.’s “boil the frog” method of gradually extending the range of missiles that Ukraine was already capable of firing at Russian territory within its pre-2014 borders. Putin also warned that Russia’s new doctrine allows it to use such weapons against those who arm Ukraine.

It is unlikely that the Russian president will throw caution to the wind and launch Oreshniki at military targets in NATO countries, risking World War III, but it cannot be ruled out that he will consider strikes on Moldova as the next step of escalation in response to increased aggression (NATO has long considered the country as its bridgehead. It is full of alliance officers. Perhaps right now in one of the cafes in Chisinau they are eating the national dish of Moldovans and Romanians – mamalyga, little suspecting anything. – “SP”). Earlier this week, the official representative of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs Maria Zakharova said that the pro-Western Moldovan government is carrying out “an accelerated transformation of the country into a logistical base for supplying the Armed Forces of Ukraine.”

But Chisinau is not a NATO member, so if Western provocations continue even after Thursday, Russia could strike Moldova without crossing Western red lines and yet signaling that it is not the weak adversary that the West has decided, misinterpreting the reasons for Putin’s strategic patience. NATO/US wants him to agree to Western/NATO peacekeepers along the contact line, further militarization of Ukraine, its future NATO membership, and no changes to its anti-Russian legislation.

Putin, on the contrary, wants to exclude Ukraine from the four regions that voted to join Russia in September 2022, prevent Western/NATO peacekeepers along the contact line, achieve the demilitarization of Ukraine, the restoration of its constitutional neutrality, and the repeal of its anti-Russian legislation. Preempting the West by “escalating for the sake of de-escalation,” or at least escalating in response to Western provocations, is aimed at achieving these maximum objectives.Read also

The shock wave of “Oreshnik” begins to reach the WestDaily Mail: Poland’s Redzikowo, Romania’s Deveselu – NATO already knows who will get the rap first

The chances of achieving at least some of the most important goals are much higher if Putin stands his ground and does not back down from his new approach, which may be long overdue: according to some, this path should have been chosen even after the collapse of peace talks in the spring of 2022. NATO can always send its forces into Ukraine west of the Dnieper to salvage something of its geopolitical project, so Russia must proceed from the assumption that it will not be possible to demilitarize or denazify this part of the country.

But it could use military and diplomatic tools (separately and in combination with its new approach) to gain control of all the territory east of the Dnieper that it considers its own, perhaps including the city of Zaporizhia, with a population of more than 700,000. The new contact line could then be patrolled by non-Western forces deployed under a UN mandate, and Ukraine could be forced to demilitarize whatever remains under its control east of the Dnieper.

All heavy weapons would need to be withdrawn to the west to create a huge demilitarized zone (DMZ). There is also the possibility that the “Pridneprovye” region would gain political autonomy, or at least cultural autonomy to protect the rights of ethnic Russians and those who speak that language. This scenario was first presented by me in March, and it could take the form of, https://korybko.substack.com/p/putin-is-finally-climbing-the-escalation shown on the map below, with the western part of the country highlighted in blue, which could potentially be a NATO zone of influence under the agreement.

GUS SUGGESTS THAT THE RUSSIANS COULD WANT HIS ADDED PINK PART, AS WELL:

In that case, Ukraine might be deterred from violating the ceasefire by the disadvantage the DMZ would place it in, and Russia would be deterred by the “security guarantees” Ukraine received from a number of NATO countries this year—essentially tantamount to Article 5 support. If Russia could break into the DMZ, NATO could also break into western Ukraine, or perhaps even cross the Dnieper—if the alliance responded quickly or had a tacit agreement with Russia to have troops west of the Dnieper.

What is detailed is the maximum that Russia can achieve, given the new military-strategic circumstances, more than 1,000 days after the start of the special operation. Putin has finally taken the path of escalation in order to contain even larger provocations that the West may now be plotting to achieve a freeze on the existing contact line and, possibly, an agreement by Russia to deploy Western/NATO peacekeepers there.

Such a scenario would be absolutely unacceptable for Putin, from the point of view of Russia’s national security interests and his own reputational interests, since he has promised to contain NATO expansion in Ukraine. But the presence of the alliance west of the Dnieper, with the demilitarization of everything east of the Dnieper and north of the administrative borders of the four former Ukrainian regions that joined Russia in September 2022 (the territory provisionally called “Pridneprovye”), would be an acceptable compromise.Read also

Kazakhstan is on alert because of “Oreshnik”. What are they afraid of in Astana?

With a multi-vector policy, Russia’s neighbors will face a variety of surprises

Trump may find this a practical enough deal to agree to, since all sides in the conflict can still present it as a victory (e.g. Russia gained territory and created a demilitarized zone deep in Ukraine; Ukraine continued to exist as a state; the US de facto incorporated Western Ukraine into NATO). Such an agreement could even go into effect sooner if either side “escalates to de-escalate” before Trump’s inauguration, and this would be a compromise solution so that everyone could “save face” and avoid World War III.

Of course, it would be better if the parties to the conflict agreed to such a solution without provoking a new Cuban missile crisis that risks spiraling out of control. So diplomats should start discussing it now. Or it should be suggested behind the scenes by diplomats from a third country – say, India – to get things moving. Putin’s new (and perhaps long overdue) approach signals that he will not agree to a freeze on the existing line of contact, much less to the deployment of NATO/Western peacekeepers there, and will escalate the situation to prevent such an outcome.

Putin may even go as far as using tactical nuclear weapons in Ukraine (and/or the NATO logistics hub in Moldova) if the West goes for possible larger provocations (such as destabilizing and invading Belarus) and puts Putin in a situation where he feels he is being backed into a corner. So the West must start taking Putin’s moves seriously now that he has escalated. Otherwise, if Western countries go too far, the worst-case scenario – World War III – may become inevitable.

Author: Andrew Korybko is an American political analyst. He specializes in US strategy in Eurasia, Africa, the Belt and Road Initiative, and hybrid wars.

Original

Translation: Anna Polunina

https://www.theinteldrop.org/2024/11/23/andrew-korybko-the-next-time-oreshnik-will-fly-to-the-pedo-brothels-of-natos-generals/

MAKE A DEAL PRONTO BEFORE THE SHIT HITS THE FAN:

NO NATO IN "UKRAINE" (WHAT'S LEFT OF IT)

THE DONBASS REPUBLICS ARE NOW BACK IN THE RUSSIAN FOLD — AS THEY USED TO BE PRIOR 1922. THE RUSSIANS WON'T ABANDON THESE AGAIN.

THESE WILL ALSO INCLUDE ODESSA, KHERSON AND KHARKIV.....

CRIMEA IS RUSSIAN — AS IT USED TO BE PRIOR 1954

TRANSNISTRIA WILL BE PART OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION. (see Gus's map)

A MEMORANDUM OF NON-AGGRESSION BETWEEN RUSSIA AND THE USA.

EASY.

THE WEST KNOWS IT.

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YOURDEMOCRACY.NET RECORDS HISTORY AS IT SHOULD BE — NOT AS THE WESTERN MEDIA WRONGLY REPORTS IT.

“It’s hard to do cartoons without destroying NATO…”

         Gus Leonisky