Tuesday 3rd of June 2025

gas cash....

Russia has continued to make billions from fossil fuel exports to the West, data shows, helping to finance its full-scale invasion of Ukraine – now in its fourth year.

Since the start of that invasion in February 2022, Russia has made more than three times as much money by exporting hydrocarbons than Ukraine has received in aid allocated by its allies.

Data analysed by the BBC show that Ukraine's Western allies have paid Russia more for its hydrocarbons than they have given Ukraine in aid.

Campaigners say governments in Europe and North America need to do more to stop Russian oil and gas from fuelling the war with Ukraine.

How much is Russia still making?

Proceeds made from selling oil and gas are key to keeping Russia's war machine going.

Oil and gas account for almost a third of Russia's state revenue and more than 60% of its exports.

In the wake of the February 2022 invasion, Ukraine's allies imposed sanctions on Russian hydrocarbons. The US and UK banned Russian oil and gas, while the EU banned Russian seaborne crude imports, but not gas.

Despite this, by 29 May, Russia had made more than €883bn ($973bn; £740bn) in revenue from fossil fuel exports since the start of the full-scale invasion, including €228bn from the sanctioning countries, according to the Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air (CREA).

The lion's share of that amount, €209bn, came from EU member states.

EU states continued importing pipeline gas directly from Russia until Ukraine cut the transit in January 2025, and Russian crude oil is still piped to Hungary and Slovakia.

Russian gas is still piped to Europe in increasing quantities via Turkey: CREA's data shows that its volume rose by 26.77% in January and February 2025 over the same period in 2024.

Hungary and Slovakia are also still receiving Russian pipeline gas via Turkey.

Despite the West's efforts, in 2024 Russian revenues from fossil fuels fell by a mere 5% compared with 2023, along with a similar 6% drop in the volumes of exports, according to CREA. Last year also saw a 6% increase in Russian revenues from crude oil exports, and a 9% year-on-year increase in revenues from pipeline gas.

Russian estimates say gas exports to Europe rose by up to 20% in 2024, with liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports reaching record levels. Currently, half of Russia's LNG exports go the EU, CREA says.

The EU's foreign policy chief, Kaja Kallas, says the alliance has not imposed "the strongest sanctions" on Russian oil and gas because some member states fear an escalation in the conflict and because buying them is "cheaper in the short term".

LNG imports have not been included in the latest, 17th package of sanctions on Russia approved by the EU, but it has adopted a road map towards ending all Russian gas imports by the end of 2027.

Data shows that money made by Russia from selling fossil fuels has consistently surpassed the amount of aid Ukraine receives from its allies.

The thirst for fuel can get in the way of the West's efforts to limit Russia's ability to fund its war.

Mai Rosner, a senior campaigner from the pressure group Global Witness, says many Western policymakers fear that cutting imports of Russian fuels will lead to higher energy prices.

"There's no real desire in many governments to actually limit Russia's ability to produce and sell oil. There is way too much fear about what that would mean for global energy markets. There's a line drawn under where energy markets would be too undermined or too thrown off kilter," she told the BBC.

'Refining loophole'

In addition to direct sales, some of the oil exported by Russia ends up in the West after being processed into fuel products in third countries via what is known as "the refining loophole". Sometimes it gets diluted with crude from other countries, too.

CREA says it has identified three "laundromat refineries" in Turkey and three in India processing Russian crude and selling the resulting fuel on to sanctioning countries. It says they have used €6.1bn worth of Russian crude to make products for sanctioning countries.

India's petroleum ministry criticised CREA's report as "a deceptive effort to tarnish India's image".

"[These countries] know that sanctioning countries are willing to accept this. This is a loophole. It's entirely legal. Everyone's aware of it, but nobody is doing much to actually tackle it in a big way," says Vaibhav Raghunandan, an analyst at CREA.

Campaigners and experts argue that Western governments have the tools and means available to stem the flow of oil and gas revenue into the Kremlin's coffers. 

According to former Russian deputy energy minister Vladimir Milov, who is now a diehard opponent of Vladimir Putin, sanctions imposed on trade in Russian hydrocarbons should be better enforced - particularly the oil price cap adopted by the G7 group of nations, which Mr Milov says "is not working".

He is fearful, though, that the US government shake-up launched by President Donald Trump will hamper agencies such as the US Treasury or the Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC), which are key for sanctions enforcement.

Another avenue is continued pressure on Russia's "shadow fleet" of tankers involved in dodging the sanctions.

"That is a complex surgery operation. You need to periodically release batches of new sanctioned vessels, shell companies, traders, insurers etc. every several weeks," Mr Milov says. According to him, this is an area where Western governments have been much more effective, particularly with the introduction of new sanctions by Joe Biden's outgoing administration in January 2025.

Mai says that banning Russian LNG exports to Europe and closing the refining loophole in Western jurisdictions would be "important steps in finishing the decoupling of the West from Russian hydrocarbons".

According to Mr Raghunandan from CREA, it would be relatively easy for the EU to give up Russian LNG imports.

"Fifty percent of their LNG exports are directed towards the European Union, and only 5% of the EU's total [LNG] gas consumption in 2024 was from Russia. So if the EU decides to completely cut off Russian gas, it's going to hurt Russia way more then [sic] it's going to hurt consumers in the European Union," he told the BBC.

Trump's oil-price plan to end war

Experts interviewed by the BBC have dismissed Donald Trump's idea that the war with Ukraine will end if Opec brings oil prices down.

"People in Moscow are laughing at this idea, because the party which will suffer the most… is the American shale oil industry, the least cost-competitive oil industry in the world," Mr Milov told the BBC.

Mr Raghunandan says that Russia's cost of producing crude is also lower than in Opec countries like Saudi Arabia, so they would be hurt by lower oil prices before Russia.

"There is no way that Saudi Arabia is going to agree to that. This has been tried before. This has led to conflict between Saudi Arabia and the US," he says.

Ms Rosner says there are both moral and practical issues with the West buying Russian hydrocarbons while supporting Ukraine.

"We now have a situation in which we are funding the aggressor in a war that we're condemning and also funding the resistance to the war," she says. "This dependence on fossil fuels means that we are really at the whims of energy markets, global energy producers and hostile dictators."

 

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cdxk454kxz8o

 

YOURDEMOCRACY.NET RECORDS HISTORY AS IT SHOULD BE — NOT AS THE WESTERN MEDIA WRONGLY REPORTS IT.

 

         Gus Leonisky

         POLITICAL CARTOONIST SINCE 1951.

merz's war....

 

Patrick Lawrence: War in Our Time

 

BERLIN—Friedrich Merz has been in office as Germany’s new chancellor a matter of weeks, and already he has the German capital aflutter with worry about the increasing danger of a third world war. More to the point, while Germans are fearful of such a prospect, the Russians are warning of it.

In a series of recent remarks, notably on German television, Merz has stopped just short of stating that he intends to authorize supplies of German-made ballistic missiles to Ukraine and to do so without imposing restrictions on the Kiev regime’s use of them to attack Russian territory. This is a tripwire for Moscow, as Merz cannot possibly fail to see. There are reports, notably from a Moscow television news presenter and blogger, Ruslan Ostashko, that Taurus missiles have already been shipped from Schrobenhausen, the Bavarian town where the Taurus is manufactured, and that Kiev now awaits authorization from Berlin to use them. 

Quoting a source “in Zelensky’s office,” Ostashko reported that BND and MI6, the German and British intelligence services, have overseen the Taurus shipments. But this is a highly sensitive matter and there has been no official confirmation of Ostashko’s report. He may be reproducing the sort of purposeful leaks hawks commonly use to manage public opinion and avoid controversy while recklessly leading a nation closer to a war. The Kiev official may intend to encourage German momentum on the Taurus question. These practices were routine in Kiev and Washington, for instance, as the Biden regime raised the quantity and sophistication of the matériel it sent the Ukrainians after it provoked the Russian intervention three years ago. But at this fraught moment the provenance or veracity of these reports can neither be confirmed nor discounted.  

The Merz government’s caution is especially important if the chancellor is to foment hostilities with Russia as he plans without his fractious coalition government collapsing. “There are no longer any range restrictions on weapons delivered to Ukraine,” he declared on German television May 26, “neither by the British nor the French nor by us — nor by the Americans.” After a meeting with Volodymyr Zelensky in Berlin two days later, Merz announced that Germany will finance production of long-range weapons in Ukraine — again, with no restrictions on their use. He and the Ukrainian president are shortly to sign an extensive arms agreement, it was also announced.   

Merz is salami-slicing, as the expression goes. But even planning to deploy the Taurus is a daringly provocative escalation of Germany’s involvement in the West’s proxy war against the Russians. It is the most powerful of the ballistic missile systems available in the West. With a range of 500 kilometers, 310 miles, it is capable of reaching Moscow from Ukrainian territory, and the Ukrainians would need German personnel to operate these systems. Germans would also supply targeting data from a location, not yet known, in Germany.  

This is why Merz’s predecessor, Olaf Scholz, refused to send the Ukrainians Taurus missiles. It is why Merz speaks often and forcefully of backing Ukraine without limits on the use of German-supplied weapons while stopping a coy shade short of naming the Taurus. It is why, every time the chancellor hints with a heavy hand that he will soon authorize Taurus shipments to Kiev, the Social Democrats, Scholz’s party and Merz’s coalition partner, make a public statement that official policy on the Taurus question has not changed. To the extent public opinion matters to Merz, German voters are decisively opposed to Taurus deployments in Ukraine. 

All this is also why putting the Taurus on Ukrainian soil has Moscow in something of an uproar. It would be hard to overstate the gravity Russians attach to this question. Andrei Kartapolov, who heads the defense committee in the Duma, warned on May 29 that Russia could retaliate if Germany ships the Taurus to Ukraine, and his is one of many voices suggesting a strong Russian response.  In an opinion piece the previous day on the Russian news network RT, its  longtime editor-in-chief, Margarita Simonyan, suggested Russia should attack Berlin if Germany sends does not occupy a place in the hierarchy comparable with Kartapolov’s, but she gives a good idea of what is on many Moscow minds now.       

As you may have noticed, President Trump has been carrying on lately about Russia’s recent drone-and-missile attacks on Ukrainian towns and cities. “What Vladimir Putin doesn’t realize is that if it weren’t for me,” he remarked on his Truth Social digital bullhorn the other day, “lots of really bad things would have already happened to Russia, and I mean REALLY BAD. He’s playing with fire!”

Trumpian bluster, of course. But it prompted this response on “X” from Dmitry Medvedev, deputy chairman of Russia’s Security Council and for an interim the Russian president: “Regarding Trump’s words about Putin ‘playing with fire’ and ‘really bad things’ happening to Russia, I only know of one REALLY BAD thing — WWIII. I hope Trump understands this!”

Another measure of the temperature in Moscow.

Trump, you’ll also have seen, is under enormous pressure from various quarters, notably but not only from Capitol Hill Democrats, liberal media, and longtime Republican hawks such as Senator Lindsey Graham, to drop all thought of a negotiated settlement in Ukraine and join Merz and other European leaders as they impose yet more sanctions on Russia. Trump’s outburst was intended more for these people than anyone in Moscow. The argument being pushed at Trump is that as Russia continues waging war in the absence of a ceasefire, it is proof Moscow does not want to negotiate for peace.   

Everything is upside down at this point — everything in the official Western narrative, I mean. 

Dmitry Medvedev warns of the danger of a global conflict,  and you can read now — a tiresome old trope, this — that Moscow has threatened to start World War III. On Wednesday Sergei Lavrov, the Russian foreign minister, proposed June 2 for the next round of peace talks with Ukraine, again in Istanbul. In the coming week he is to announce Moscow’s detailed proposal for talks toward a settlement of the conflict. But no, the Russians want only more war. 

Merz and other European leaders stand for peace but impose new sanctions on the Russians. And there is the Taurus deployments, by all evidence to begin as soon as Merz judges the political coast to be clear. 

Ask yourself: Why would Merz and his “centrist” colleagues in Paris and London war-monger and sanctions-monger — this with a notable measure of urgency — just as talks between Moscow and Kiev show the first glimmer of promise in three years? 

I see no difficulty with this question. The West has lost the proxy war the U.S. and its European clients provoked in February 2022 — this is now patently so — and in a state of desperate denial there is a prevalent compulsion in the Atlantic alliance to prolong it beyond, well beyond, the point it makes any sense whatsoever. Donald Trump’s sin — well, among his many, but that is another story — is his refusal to go along with this craven charade. 

Friedrich Merz just made the charade more dangerous.

The warmongering Merz has long been known for his obsessive Russophobia. The question on many German minds now is how willing he is to risk a military confrontation with the Russian Federation — if, indeed, provoking hostilities is not his intent. Merz made a great display of his visit to Lithuania on May 22 to celebrate the first foreign deployment of Bundeswehr troops since World War II. “There is a threat to us all from Russia,” he declared in Vilnius, the Lithuanian capital. “We are protecting ourselves against this threat.” 

This, too, is upside down. A century of history suggests this well enough. And it is well to remind ourselves that Russians view Merz’s ambitions on the military side, including his apparent determination to escalate Germany’s military support for Ukraine, through history’s lens. This is best understood as a measure of the seriousness Moscow attaches to the Taurus question and, in my read, as an indication of how strongly it may react. 

On May 28, Sergei Lavrov spoke at a security conference in Moscow and made reference to the deployment in Lithuania amid reports of Merz’s intentions to give Kiev the missile it dearly wants. “Many were immediately reminded of the last century, when Germany twice became the leading military power,” he said, “and how much trouble that caused.”

https://scheerpost.com/2025/05/31/patrick-lawrence-war-in-our-time/

 

READ FROM TOP.

 

YOURDEMOCRACY.NET RECORDS HISTORY AS IT SHOULD BE — NOT AS THE WESTERN MEDIA WRONGLY REPORTS IT.

 

         Gus Leonisky

         POLITICAL CARTOONIST SINCE 1951.

krieg-kanzler....

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eKeSoUHOTNc

Berlin Backlash: Germans Revolt Over Military Aid to Ukraine | Times Now World

 

Germany is facing a growing storm of public unrest as thousands protest Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s sweeping military commitments to Ukraine. From Munich to Hannover, demonstrators accused Merz of dragging Germany into war and undermining national security. The outcry intensified after Berlin approved long-range missiles for Kyiv with no strike restrictions—prompting condemnation from Russia. Domestically, Merz faces backlash over militarization, weakened social programs, and immigration policies. As opposition grows, Germany stands at a critical crossroads in both foreign and domestic policy.

 

READ FROM TOP.

 

YOURDEMOCRACY.NET RECORDS HISTORY AS IT SHOULD BE — NOT AS THE WESTERN MEDIA WRONGLY REPORTS IT.

 

         Gus Leonisky

         POLITICAL CARTOONIST SINCE 1951.

 

SEE ALSO : https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BNRRrZAabj4