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faded hope.......
There was – or seemed to be – hope for peace for a brief moment. And how deceptive it turned out to be. I was among those cautiously optimistic when we were told just over a week ago that the presidents of Russia and the US, Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump, had a long and useful phone conversation and were planning to meet in person again.
Why the Putin-Trump summit cancelation is terrible news for Ukraine BY Tarik Cyril Amar
The ‘Alaska 2.0 summit’, to take place in the Hungarian capital, Budapest, has been called off before it was even properly scheduled, and Russia-US relations have taken further severe hits. Washington has initiated unprecedented sanctions on Russia’s two largest oil companies, which had not been sanctioned before, and dozens of their subsidiaries. All of this accompanied by what seems to be deliberately condescending and offensive rhetoric blaming Russia and its president – and them alone – for the persistent impasse in finding a negotiated solution to the Ukraine conflict – that is, the Western proxy war against Russia. In reality, of course, it is Washington that can’t stop making U-turns that mess up what could have been a rational if difficult process of making peace. Witness the rather silly way in which Trump and his team have just oscillated between demanding that Ukraine surrender territory not yet taken by Russia and reverting to the pre-Alaska-summit dead-end position that a ceasefire must precede a full peace. In addition, the Trump administration has been ambiguous at best about another escalation: Trump has denied it rather implausibly, but in reality, Washington seems to have permitted Kiev to carry out long-range strikes with European missiles – in particular, the British Storm Shadow – which include US parts and involve American targeting data: Another serious and provocative escalation. The one piece of reasonable restraint still in place in Washington at this point is the refusal to transfer Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine (via an eagerly paying NATO-EU Europe, of course). Again, given the second Trump administration’s short but disappointing history, there is no reason to consider this refusal dependable and permanent. Ukraine’s dated leader, Vladimir Zelensky, has already boasted that he has “not yet” got his hands on the Tomahawks. It’s as if Trump enjoys being paraded as fickle and playable by the same man he regularly humiliates in public. What an odd relationship. The NATO-EU Europeans, meanwhile, have stalled on their much-vaunted plan for an interest-free ‘loan’ – not really the right term for money that will never be paid back – of yet another €140 billion, using frozen Russian assets as pseudo-collateral. ‘Pseudo’, because the dirty little not-quite-secret of the scheme is that in the end, it will be EU taxpayers once again who will really foot the bill. Indeed, for those with eyes to see, German Chancellor Friedrich Merz has long admitted as much, if in a venue most of his voters do not read and in terms clearly chosen to obfuscate: “budgetary guarantees from member states... [to] be replaced by collateralization under the EU’s long-term budget.” Translation: You, EU citizens, will pay, but in a way we make obscure enough for you to miss. For now, the fortuitous inability of the EU to agree on how to spread the rather insane financial and political risks of this double-steal move – from Russia and from EU taxpayers – and ultra-corrupt Ukraine’s brazen demand to get this money in no-questions-asked-just-trust-us mode have delayed the realization of the scheme. That, too, like the US refusal to deliver Tomahawks to Kiev, is a tiny remnant of reason that may not last long. The new deadline set for a decision is December. If Eastern European hardliners and Russophobes, such as Poland’s Donald ‘I love terrorist attacks on vital infrastructure as long as they hit Germany’ Tusk, keep setting the tone, the loan operation to bury the euro’s credibility is likely to go ahead soon. The EU has certainly not lost its appetite for measures that prolong a meat-grinder war for Ukrainians and damage the economy and general well-being of the inhabitants of NATO-EU-land. The 19th sanctions packet has been launched and hardball methods have been used to cajole resisters inside the EU – Hungary and Slovakia – to submit to a total cut-off of Russian gas and oil. These methods may very well already include more Nord Stream-style terrorist attacks, with refineries processing Russian oil blowing up at an astonishing pace now. In sum, while official Kiev may celebrate, the news for ordinary Ukrainians is horrible: With the US fully reverting to a proxy-war course and the EU never even thinking about abandoning it, the war is now set to continue into next year. Unless there are further major reversals, Ukraine faces a terrible winter, and after that, a spring that will see renewed Russian ground offensives (at the latest). Meanwhile, NATO figurehead and professional Trump sycophant Mark Rutte, comfortably seated next to his US boss, has said, in essence, that he does not give a damn about the fact that less than a quarter of Ukrainians want this war to continue. Former Polish Prime Minister Leszek Miller recommends shipping young male Ukrainians who have fled to Poland off to the front. In short, the cannon fodder must flow. The West started its systematic and reckless policy of exposing Ukraine at the Bucharest summit in 2008, almost 20 years ago. What we see now is that it will not change course even in the face of the horrendous fiasco that policy has already predictably incurred. The mad and vicious strategy of sacrificing Ukraine to damage Russia continues. Worse, the more it fails, the more it is being escalated, in the manner of compulsive gamblers who cannot stop until they have lost absolutely everything. Ukraine’s tragedy is that it is its land and its people they are betting. https://www.rt.com/news/626915-trump-putin-summit-ukraine/
YOURDEMOCRACY.NET RECORDS HISTORY AS IT SHOULD BE — NOT AS THE WESTERN MEDIA WRONGLY REPORTS IT — SINCE 2005.
Gus Leonisky POLITICAL CARTOONIST SINCE 1951.
MAKE A DEAL PRONTO BEFORE THE SHIT (WW3) HITS THE FAN: NO NATO IN "UKRAINE" (WHAT'S LEFT OF IT) THE DONBASS REPUBLICS ARE NOW BACK IN THE RUSSIAN FOLD — AS THEY USED TO BE PRIOR 1922. THE RUSSIANS WON'T ABANDON THESE AGAIN. THESE WILL ALSO INCLUDE ODESSA, KHERSON AND KHARKIV..... CRIMEA IS RUSSIAN — AS IT USED TO BE PRIOR 1954 TRANSNISTRIA TO BE PART OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION. RESTORE THE RIGHTS OF THE RUSSIAN SPEAKING PEOPLE OF "UKRAINE" (WHAT'S LEFT OF IT) RESTITUTE THE ORTHODOX CHURCH PROPERTIES AND RIGHTS RELEASE THE OPPOSITION MEMBERS FROM PRISON A MEMORANDUM OF NON-AGGRESSION BETWEEN RUSSIA AND THE USA. A MEMORANDUM OF NON-AGGRESSION BETWEEN RUSSIA AND THE EU.....
EASY.
THE WEST KNOWS IT.
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misunderstanding....
Western Analysts Continue to Push Delusions About Russia
by Larry C. Johnson
I want to flag another article that reflects a profound misunderstanding of Russia and the war in Ukraine… It is from a pundit by the name of Kamran Bokhari.
Although Bokhari appears to be a young guy who was not an adult during the cold war, he is trapped in the old style of thinking about Russia and US relations. He writes:
Trump must act decisively to show that he controls the rules of the engagement and to counter the perception that Moscow is exploiting his desire for diplomacy. Washington’s move on Wednesday to sanction Rosneft and Lukoil, Russia’s largest oil companies, is evidence of the administration’s sensitivity to charges of weakness….
Certainly, the war in Ukraine has shown that Russia falls well short of the military and industrial might that the Soviets possessed. After nearly four years of fighting, Moscow’s failures underscore the erosion of its conventional power and the limits of its mobilization capacity. Russia will need years to rebuild its economic base, replenish its arsenal and restore force readiness, diminishing its ability to threaten Europe in the near term. In the meantime, Russia will try to gain as much territory in eastern Ukraine as possible as it waits for Washington to continue its withdrawal from the global stage, after which it will exploit strategic opportunities in Europe as they emerge.
This strategy has a couple of problems that Moscow is all too aware of. First and more immediately, the continued rejection of Trump’s diplomatic overtures risks escalation. The US could respond by supplying additional military aid to Ukraine that could lead to real battlefield reversals. The Kremlin, for its part, recognizes how Trump’s political imperatives will influence his willingness to act decisively. As a result, there are limits to how far Russia can delay or continue to manipulate negotiations without incurring costs.
First a comment about the latest sanctions the US Department of the Treasury, through its Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC), imposed on Russia’s two largest oil companies: Rosneft and Lukoil. These sanctions come under Executive Order 14024 and are ostensibly part of a broader effort to weaken the Kremlin’s war machine by cutting off key sources of revenue from the energy sector amid Russia’s ongoing war in Ukraine.
To be specific, the sanctions are supposed to block Rosneft and Lukoil, as well as many of their subsidiaries and any entities they own 50 percent or more, directly or indirectly, from accessing the US financial system and prohibits US persons from dealing with them. Only one tiny problem… Rosneft and Lukoil are doing business outside of the US financial system. These sanctions will have no substantive effect on either company. This is simply window dressing from Donald Trump to convince the anti-Russian Americans that he is trying to play hardball with Moscow. The clowns in Washington do not understand that Russia’s economy is not dependent on oil exports… And that is according to Mr. Alexander Galushka, the Deputy Secretary of the Public Chamber of the Russian Federation.
Second, Bokhari continues to repeat the false Western memes that Russia’s military operation is a failure, that the Russian economy is collapsing and that its stocks of military supplies are depleted. Russia continues to recruit and expand its army, which now has more than 1.5 million soldiers. The cooling of the Russian economy this year is a direct result of the action by Russia’s Central Bank to cool inflation… Last year’s boost in interest rates has achieved the desired result and inflation in Russia is now in single-digits. And Bokhari’s claim that, “Russia will need years to rebuild its economic base, replenish its arsenal and restore force readiness,” is complete nonsense. Russia’s massive industrial base is operating on all cylinders, churning out artillery shells, artillery barrels, drones, tanks, armored personnel carriers and hypersonic missiles. It is NATO, not Russia, that is depleted and facing an uphill challenge in trying to revive a ransacked industrial base. It is NATO, not Russia, that is incapable of matching Russia’s production of ammunition and weapons.
Finally, Bokhari displays his ignorance of military capabilities, especially with respect to the United States. He asserts, “The US could respond by supplying additional military aid to Ukraine that could lead to real battlefield reversals.” What weapons or aid would that be? The US can’t produce drones or artillery shells in quantities needed by Ukraine, but the more important deficit is Ukraine’s lack of trained military personnel. No amount of aid can fix that, especially since Russia is expanding its offensive operations all along the 1400 kilometer front, which is producing more Ukrainian casualties.
Donald Trump wrongly believes that he can pressure Russia and compel it to halt its military campaign to demilitarize and denazify Ukraine. The Russians are not going to stop until those objectives are achieved… Whether by force or diplomacy.
https://sonar21.com/western-analysts-continue-to-push-delusions-about-russia/
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YOURDEMOCRACY.NET RECORDS HISTORY AS IT SHOULD BE — NOT AS THE WESTERN MEDIA WRONGLY REPORTS IT — SINCE 2005.
Gus Leonisky
POLITICAL CARTOONIST SINCE 1951.
SEE ALSO: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ticym1Y0bMw
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